METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan
Las Vegas, USA
1 Oct 2022
Welterweight
VS
63%
Brown
37%
Trinaldo
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Randy BrownwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Francisco Trinaldo · UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Brown
→
Actual result
Brown wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Brown holds a meaningful edge at 63% per the CFR ratings — but Trinaldo has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 21 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Brown's chin rating of 4 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Trinaldo has a chin rating of 64 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
BrownTrinaldo
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Brown
Trinaldo
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
5'9"
78"+
Reach
70"
36+
Age
48
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Brown
Trinaldo
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
52.9
31.7
48.7
Performance Avg
48.6
39
Quality of Victory
35
92
Momentum Score
100
Brown
Trinaldo
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.1
/ 10
3.6
/ 10
5.4
Style: Pressure
4.4
5.3
Style: Volume
6.3
4 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
4 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
11
2
Body
0
3
Leg
1
RangeRange
10Distance5
0Clinch0
2Ground7
Brown
Trinaldo
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.9
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
2.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.6
2.1
Submission Style (/10)
1.1
3
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Brown
Trinaldo
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
4
64
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
3
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
2
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
22/28 fights
Chin rating based on
26/37 fights
Brown
Trinaldo
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
92
100
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
Brown
Trinaldo
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
33%
4
KO / TKO Wins
4
3
Submission Wins
2
7
Decision Wins
12
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Brown
Trinaldo
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.6
2.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
2.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.6
2.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.1
5.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.4
5.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.3
BrownTrinaldo
Strike Zones
Brown
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedTrinaldo
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Brown targets the head (58% of attacks) — Trinaldo absorbs 58% of strikes there
🎯Trinaldo targets the head (92% of attacks) — Brown absorbs 92% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Brown
RND
Trinaldo
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Brown · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
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Trinaldo · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Randy BrownDecision
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan · 2022-10
W · Dec · R3
Danny RobertsDecision
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L · Dec · R3
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W · KO · R3
Jai HerbertKO/TKO
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