METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2
Glendale, USA
12 Jun 2021
Lightweight
VS
74%
Dober
26%
Riddell
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Brad RiddellwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Drew Dober · UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Dober
→
Actual result
Riddell wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Dober is a strong favourite at 74% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 39 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Dober has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 25 points.
Risk flags
Dober's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Riddell has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
DoberRiddell
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Dober
Riddell
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"+
Height
5'7"
70"
Reach
+71"
37
Age
+34
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Dober
Riddell
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
59.9
20.7
53.2
Performance Avg
37.9
50
Quality of Victory
25
100
Momentum Score
50
Dober
Riddell
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
8.5
/ 10
1.1
/ 10
7.3
Style: Pressure
1.7
2.8
Style: Volume
9.1
11 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
14
Head
25
6
Body
7
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
19Distance25
1Clinch3
0Ground6
Dober
Riddell
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.0
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
0.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.7
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Dober
Riddell
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
54
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
4
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
27/44 fights
Chin rating based on
7/14 fights
Dober
Riddell
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
50
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
L · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Dober
Riddell
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
80%
0%
11
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Dober
Riddell
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.1
1.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
0.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.7
2.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
9.1
DoberRiddell
Strike Zones
Dober
Attacking
20 landedAbsorbing
34 absorbedRiddell
Attacking
34 landedAbsorbing
20 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Dober targets the head (70% of attacks) — Riddell absorbs 70% of strikes there
🎯Riddell targets the head (74% of attacks) — Dober absorbs 74% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Dober
RND
Riddell
0/0R00/0
Dober · Last 5
W · KO · R2
Michael JohnsonKO/TKO
UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · 2026-03
W · KO · R3
Kyle PrepolecKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen · 2025-10
L · KO · R1
Manuel TorresKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erceg · 2025-03
L · R3
Jean SilvaUFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez · 2024-07
L · Dec · R3
Renato MoicanoDecision
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov · 2024-02
Riddell · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Renato MoicanoSubmission
UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira · 2022-11
L · Sub · R1
Jalin TurnerSubmission
UFC 276: Adesanya vs. Cannonier · 2022-07
L · KO · R3
Rafael FizievKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Aldo · 2021-12
W · Dec · R3
Drew DoberDecision
UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2 · 2021-06
W · Dec · R3
Alex Da SilvaDecision
UFC 253: Adesanya vs. Costa · 2020-09