METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs Stephens
San Antonio, USA
28 Jun 2014
Middleweight
VS
46%
Hester
54%
Neto
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Clint HesterwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Antonio Braga Neto · UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs Stephens
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Neto
→
Actual result
Hester wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Hester at 46% vs Neto at 54% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Neto has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 22 points.
Hester has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Hester's chin rating of 44 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
HesterNeto
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Hester
Neto
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"
Height
+6'3"
77"
Reach
77"
39
Age
+38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Hester
Neto
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.3
17.7
42.0
Performance Avg
45.7
32
Quality of Victory
54
61
Momentum Score
35
Hester
Neto
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.7
0.3
42%
Strike Accuracy
29%
3.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.7
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
15
Head
1
6
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
17Distance1
0Clinch0
4Ground0
Hester
Neto
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
—
1.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
8.0
0.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
5.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Hester
Neto
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
44
76
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/17 fights
Chin rating based on
3/12 fights
Hester
Neto
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
61
35
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Hester
Neto
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
25%
100%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
3
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Hester
Neto
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
3.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
5.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.7
HesterNeto
Strike Zones
Hester
Attacking
21 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedNeto
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
21 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Hester targets the head (71% of attacks) — Neto absorbs 71% of strikes there
🎯Neto targets the head (100% of attacks) — Hester absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Hester
RND
Neto
0/0R00/0
Hester · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.9WinLossTrend
Neto · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.3WinLossTrend
Hester · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Marcos Rogerio de LimaRating 2.1Submission
UFC 197: Jones vs Saint Preux · 2016-04
L · KO · R2
Vitor MirandaRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 190: Rousey vs Correia · 2015-08
L · KO · R2
Robert WhittakerRating 3.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs Bisping · 2014-11
W · Dec · R3
Antonio Braga NetoRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs Stephens · 2014-06
W · Dec · R3
Andy EnzRating 4.5Decision
UFC 169: Barao vs Faber 2 · 2014-02
Neto · Last 3
L · KO · R3
Trevin GilesRating 4.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Ortega · 2017-12
L · Dec · R3
Clint HesterRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs Stephens · 2014-06
W · Sub · R1
Anthony SmithRating 6.2Submission
UFC on FUEL TV: Nogueira vs. Werdum · 2013-06