METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs Stephens
San Antonio, USA
28 Jun 2014
Middleweight
VS
46%
Hester
54%
Neto
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Clint HesterwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Antonio Braga Neto · UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs Stephens
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Neto
→
Actual result
Hester wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Hester at 46% vs Neto at 54% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Neto has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 22 points.
Risk flags
Hester's chin rating of 44 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
HesterNeto
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Hester
Neto
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"
Height
+6'3"
77"
Reach
77"
39
Age
+38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Hester
Neto
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.3
17.7
42.0
Performance Avg
45.7
32
Quality of Victory
54
61
Momentum Score
35
Hester
Neto
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.6
/ 10
0.7
/ 10
3.5
Style: Pressure
8.0
5.1
Style: Volume
0.7
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
15
Head
1
6
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
17Distance1
0Clinch0
4Ground0
Hester
Neto
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.2
/ 10
8.0
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
5.6
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
10.0
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Hester
Neto
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
44
76
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/17 fights
Chin rating based on
3/12 fights
Hester
Neto
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
61
35
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Hester
Neto
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
25%
100%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
3
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Hester
Neto
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
3.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
5.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.7
HesterNeto
Strike Zones
Hester
Attacking
21 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedNeto
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
21 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Hester targets the head (71% of attacks) — Neto absorbs 71% of strikes there
🎯Neto targets the head (100% of attacks) — Hester absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Hester
RND
Neto
0/0R00/0
Hester · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Marcos Rogerio de LimaSubmission
UFC 197: Jones vs Saint Preux · 2016-04
L · KO · R2
Vitor MirandaKO/TKO
UFC 190: Rousey vs Correia · 2015-08
L · KO · R2
Robert WhittakerKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs Bisping · 2014-11
W · Dec · R3
Antonio Braga NetoDecision
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs Stephens · 2014-06
W · Dec · R3
Andy EnzDecision
UFC 169: Barao vs Faber 2 · 2014-02
Neto · Last 3
L · KO · R3
Trevin GilesKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Ortega · 2017-12
L · Dec · R3
Clint HesterDecision
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs Stephens · 2014-06
W · Sub · R1
Anthony SmithSubmission
UFC on FUEL TV: Nogueira vs. Werdum · 2013-06