UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs Stephens
San Antonio, USA
28 Jun 2014
Middleweight
VS
46%
Hester
54%
Neto
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
CH
Clint Hester
"Headbussa"
11 – 6
6'2"77" reachOrthodox39 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 15
AB
Antonio Braga Neto
9 – 3
Submission Hunter2-fight slide38 yrsOrthodox77" reach6'3"
CFR 18

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Neto

This is a genuine toss-up — Hester at 46% vs Neto at 54% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Neto has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 22 points.

Hester has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Hester's chin rating of 44 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Hester
Neto
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"
Height
+6'3"
77"
Reach
77"
39
Age
+38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Hester
Neto
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.3
17.7
42.0
Performance Avg
45.7
32
Quality of Victory
54
61
Momentum Score
35
Hester
Neto
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.7
0.3
42%
Strike Accuracy
29%
3.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.7
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
15
Head
1
6
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
17Distance1
0Clinch0
4Ground0
Hester
Neto
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
—
1.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
8.0
0.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
5.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Hester
Neto
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
44
76
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/17 fights
Chin rating based on
3/12 fights
Hester
Neto
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
61
35
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Hester
Neto
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
25%
100%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
3
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Hester
Neto
Striking3.6 / 0.7Volume5.1 / 0.7Grappling1.2 / 8.0Wrestling0.8 / 5.6Submission0.0 / 10.0Pressure3.5 / 8.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
3.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
5.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.7
Hester
Strike Zones
Neto
Hester
Attacking
15HEAD6BODY0LEGS21 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD0BODY0LEGS1 absorbed
Neto
Attacking
1HEAD0BODY0LEGS1 landed
Absorbing
15HEAD6BODY0LEGS21 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Hester targets the head (71% of attacks) — Neto absorbs 71% of strikes there
🎯Neto targets the head (100% of attacks) — Hester absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Hester
RND
Neto
0/0R00/0

Hester · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.9
0105.5W4.2W4.5W4.5W3.7L2.8L2.1L2013-042014-022014-112016-04
WinLossTrend

Neto · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0106.2W5.5L4.2L2013-062014-062017-12
WinLossTrend

Hester · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Marcos Rogerio de LimaRating 2.1
Submission
UFC 197: Jones vs Saint Preux · 2016-04
L · KO · R2
Vitor MirandaRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC 190: Rousey vs Correia · 2015-08
L · KO · R2
Robert WhittakerRating 3.7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs Bisping · 2014-11
W · Dec · R3
Antonio Braga NetoRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs Stephens · 2014-06
W · Dec · R3
Andy EnzRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 169: Barao vs Faber 2 · 2014-02

Neto · Last 3

L · KO · R3
Trevin GilesRating 4.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Ortega · 2017-12
L · Dec · R3
Clint HesterRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs Stephens · 2014-06
W · Sub · R1
Anthony SmithRating 6.2
Submission
UFC on FUEL TV: Nogueira vs. Werdum · 2013-06

News & Media

Clint Hester · Antonio Braga Neto
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