METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 45: Revolution
Uncasville, USA
21 Nov 2003
Welterweight
VS
69%
Lawler
31%
Lytle
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Robbie LawlerwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Chris Lytle · UFC 45: Revolution
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Lawler
→
Actual result
Lawler wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Lawler holds a meaningful edge at 69% per the CFR ratings — but Lytle has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 22 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Lawler's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
LawlerLytle
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Lawler
Lytle
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
5'11"
74"+
Reach
68"
44+
Age
52
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Lawler
Lytle
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
40.7
18.3
51.0
Performance Avg
46.2
45
Quality of Victory
44
90
Momentum Score
56
Lawler
Lytle
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
6.5
/ 10
2.0
/ 10
5.5
Style: Pressure
6.4
4.9
Style: Volume
3.4
8 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
12
3
Body
2
1
Leg
6
RangeRange
8Distance15
5Clinch5
0Ground0
Lawler
Lytle
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.1
/ 10
5.5
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.9
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
6.0
0
Submission wins
6
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Lawler
Lytle
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
80
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
3
KO/TKO Losses
0
3
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
25/46 fights
Chin rating based on
20/49 fights
Lawler
Lytle
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
90
56
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
Last 5
W · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R1
Lawler
Lytle
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
53%
70%
8
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
6
7
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Lawler
Lytle
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.0
1.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.5
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.9
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
6.0
5.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.4
4.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.4
LawlerLytle
Strike Zones
Lawler
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
20 absorbedLytle
Attacking
20 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Lawler targets the head (69% of attacks) — Lytle absorbs 69% of strikes there
🎯Lytle targets the head (60% of attacks) — Lawler absorbs 60% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Lawler
RND
Lytle
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Lawler · Last 5
W · KO · R1
Niko PriceKO/TKO
UFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodriguez · 2023-07
L · KO · R2
Bryan BarberenaKO/TKO
UFC 276: Adesanya vs. Cannonier · 2022-07
W · KO · R3
Nick DiazKO/TKO
UFC 266: Volkanovski vs. Ortega · 2021-09
L · Dec · R3
Neil MagnyDecision
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Rakic · 2020-08
L · Dec · R5
Colby CovingtonDecision
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Lawler · 2019-08
Lytle · Last 5
W · Sub · R3
Dan HardySubmission
UFC Live: Hardy vs Lytle · 2011-08
L · Dec · R3
Brian EbersoleDecision
UFC 127: Penn vs Fitch · 2011-02
W · Dec · R3
Matt SerraDecision
UFC 119: Mir vs Cro Cop · 2010-09
W · Sub · R2
Matt BrownSubmission
UFC 116: Lesnar vs Carwin · 2010-07
W · Sub · R1
Brian FosterSubmission
UFC 110: Nogueira vs Velasquez · 2010-02