UFC 45: Revolution
Uncasville, USA
21 Nov 2003
Welterweight
VS
69%
Lawler
31%
Lytle
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
RL
Robbie Lawler
"Ruthless"
3016
5'11"74" reachSouthpaw44 yrsStriker
CFR 41
CL
Chris Lytle
"Lights Out"
3118
Well-Rounded51 yrsOrthodox68" reach5'11"
CFR 18

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Lawler

Lawler holds a meaningful edge at 69% per the CFR ratings — but Lytle has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 22 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Striking split: Lytle throws more volume but Lawler connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Lawler's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Lawler
Lytle
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
5'11"
74"+
Reach
68"
44+
Age
51
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Lawler
Lytle
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
40.7
18.3
51.0
Performance Avg
46.2
45
Quality of Victory
44
90
Momentum Score
56
Lawler
Lytle
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
1.3
50%
Strike Accuracy
42%
6.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.0
8 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
12
3
Body
2
1
Leg
6
RangeRange
8Distance15
5Clinch5
0Ground0
Lawler
Lytle
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.4
1.1
Grappling Style Score (/10)
5.5
0.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.9
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Lawler
Lytle
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
80
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
3
KO/TKO Losses
0
3
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Strikes absorbed / min
25/46 fights
Chin rating based on
20/49 fights
Lawler
Lytle
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
90
56
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
Last 5
W · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R1
Lawler
Lytle
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
53%
70%
8
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
6
7
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Lawler
Lytle
Striking6.5 / 2.0Volume4.9 / 3.4Grappling1.1 / 5.5Wrestling0.8 / 3.9Submission0.0 / 6.0Pressure5.5 / 6.4
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.0
1.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.5
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.9
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
6.0
5.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.4
4.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.4
Lawler
Strike Zones
Lytle
Lawler
Attacking
9HEAD3BODY1LEGS13 landed
Absorbing
12HEAD2BODY6LEGS20 absorbed
Lytle
Attacking
12HEAD2BODY6LEGS20 landed
Absorbing
9HEAD3BODY1LEGS13 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Lawler targets the head (69% of attacks) — Lytle absorbs 69% of strikes there
🎯Lytle targets the head (60% of attacks) — Lawler absorbs 60% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Lawler
RND
Lytle
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Lawler · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0104.5W5.2W5.0W2.8L4.5W2.8L1.5L5.0W5.2W4.5W5.5L5.5W4.9W4.5W5.5W4.5W1.5L4.5W5.7L1.5L6.8L6.1L5.2W3.2L5.7W2002-052013-022015-072020-082023-07
WinLossTrend

Lytle · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.2
0104.8L5.8L5.2W5.2W5.5L4.8L5.5L5.5L5.0W4.8L5.0W5.5L4.5W5.5L4.5W5.0W5.6W4.5W5.5L5.5W2000-112005-102008-022010-022011-08
WinLossTrend

Lawler · Last 5

W · KO · R1
Niko PriceRating 5.7
KO/TKO
UFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodriguez · 2023-07
L · KO · R2
Bryan BarberenaRating 3.2
KO/TKO
UFC 276: Adesanya vs. Cannonier · 2022-07
W · KO · R3
Nick DiazRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC 266: Volkanovski vs. Ortega · 2021-09
L · Dec · R3
Neil MagnyRating 6.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Rakic · 2020-08
L · Dec · R5
Colby CovingtonRating 6.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Lawler · 2019-08

Lytle · Last 5

W · Sub · R3
Dan HardyRating 5.5
Submission
UFC Live: Hardy vs Lytle · 2011-08
L · Dec · R3
Brian EbersoleRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 127: Penn vs Fitch · 2011-02
W · Dec · R3
Matt SerraRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 119: Mir vs Cro Cop · 2010-09
W · Sub · R2
Matt BrownRating 5.6
Submission
UFC 116: Lesnar vs Carwin · 2010-07
W · Sub · R1
Brian FosterRating 5
Submission
UFC 110: Nogueira vs Velasquez · 2010-02

News & Media

Robbie Lawler · Chris Lytle
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