METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 45: Revolution
Uncasville, USA
21 Nov 2003
Welterweight
VS
69%
Lawler
31%
Lytle
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Robbie LawlerwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Chris Lytle · UFC 45: Revolution
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Lawler
→
Actual result
Lawler wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Lawler holds a meaningful edge at 69% per the CFR ratings — but Lytle has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 22 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Lytle throws more volume but Lawler connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Lawler's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
LawlerLytle
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Lawler
Lytle
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
5'11"
74"+
Reach
68"
44+
Age
51
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Lawler
Lytle
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
40.7
18.3
51.0
Performance Avg
46.2
45
Quality of Victory
44
90
Momentum Score
56
Lawler
Lytle
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.3
1.3
50%
Strike Accuracy
42%
6.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.0
8 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
12
3
Body
2
1
Leg
6
RangeRange
8Distance15
5Clinch5
0Ground0
Lawler
Lytle
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.4
1.1
Grappling Style Score (/10)
5.5
0.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.9
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Lawler
Lytle
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
80
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
3
KO/TKO Losses
0
3
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
25/46 fights
Chin rating based on
20/49 fights
Lawler
Lytle
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
90
56
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
Last 5
W · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R1
Lawler
Lytle
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
53%
70%
8
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
6
7
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Lawler
Lytle
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.0
1.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.5
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.9
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
6.0
5.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.4
4.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.4
LawlerLytle
Strike Zones
Lawler
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
20 absorbedLytle
Attacking
20 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Lawler targets the head (69% of attacks) — Lytle absorbs 69% of strikes there
🎯Lytle targets the head (60% of attacks) — Lawler absorbs 60% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Lawler
RND
Lytle
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Lawler · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Lytle · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Lawler · Last 5
W · KO · R1
Niko PriceRating 5.7KO/TKO
UFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodriguez · 2023-07
L · KO · R2
Bryan BarberenaRating 3.2KO/TKO
UFC 276: Adesanya vs. Cannonier · 2022-07
W · KO · R3
Nick DiazRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC 266: Volkanovski vs. Ortega · 2021-09
L · Dec · R3
Neil MagnyRating 6.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Rakic · 2020-08
L · Dec · R5
Colby CovingtonRating 6.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Lawler · 2019-08
Lytle · Last 5
W · Sub · R3
Dan HardyRating 5.5Submission
UFC Live: Hardy vs Lytle · 2011-08
L · Dec · R3
Brian EbersoleRating 5.5Decision
UFC 127: Penn vs Fitch · 2011-02
W · Dec · R3
Matt SerraRating 4.5Decision
UFC 119: Mir vs Cro Cop · 2010-09
W · Sub · R2
Matt BrownRating 5.6Submission
UFC 116: Lesnar vs Carwin · 2010-07
W · Sub · R1
Brian FosterRating 5Submission
UFC 110: Nogueira vs Velasquez · 2010-02