UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs. Lewis
Sao Paulo, Brazil
4 Nov 2023
Middleweight
VS
55%
Borralho
45%
Magomedov
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Borralho
This is a genuine toss-up — Borralho at 55% vs Magomedov at 45% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 12 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Borralho has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Magomedov has a chin rating of 64 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Borralho
Magomedov
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'2"
75"
Reach
+78"
33+
Age
35
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Borralho
Magomedov
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
62.8
50.4
54.6
Performance Avg
46.1
32
Quality of Victory
39
100
Momentum Score
63
Borralho
Magomedov
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
0.9
63%
Strike Accuracy
53%
3.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.6
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
15
Head
6
4
Body
4
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
18Distance11
0Clinch0
1Ground0
Borralho
Magomedov
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.2
2.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.2
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Borralho
Magomedov
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
98
64
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
6 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/20 fights
Chin rating based on
8/35 fights
Borralho
Magomedov
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
63
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
Upcoming
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
Borralho
Magomedov
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
25%
50%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
1
6
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Borralho
Magomedov
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.6
2.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.2
2.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.2
1.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
4.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.2
7.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.1
BorralhoMagomedov
Strike Zones
Borralho
Attacking
19 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedMagomedov
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
19 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Borralho targets the head (79% of attacks) — Magomedov absorbs 79% of strikes there
🎯Magomedov targets the head (55% of attacks) — Borralho absorbs 55% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Borralho
RND
Magomedov
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Borralho · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.5WinLossTrend
Magomedov · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.3WinLossTrend
Borralho · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Reinier de RidderRating 5.5Decision
UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · 2026-03
L · Dec · R5
Nassourdine ImavovRating 6.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Borralho · 2025-09
W · Dec · R5
Jared CannonierRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Borralho · 2024-08
W · KO · R2
Paul CraigRating 6KO/TKO
UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg · 2024-05
W · Dec · R3
Abus MagomedovRating 5.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs. Lewis · 2023-11
Magomedov · Last 5
Upcoming
Michal OleksiejczukUFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres · 2026-06
L · Sub · R2
Joe PyferRating 4.8Submission
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10
W · Dec · R3
Michel PereiraRating 5.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates · 2025-04
W · Sub · R3
Brunno FerreiraRating 7.1Submission
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
W · Dec · R3
Warlley AlvesRating 4.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy · 2024-05

