UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. Moises
Las Vegas, USA
17 Jul 2021
Lightweight
VS
65%
Makhachev
35%
Moises
Win Probability
Submission
Round 4 · 2:38
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Makhachev
Makhachev holds a meaningful edge at 65% per the CFR ratings — but Moises has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 35 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Makhachev has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 15 points.
Striking split: Moises throws more volume but Makhachev connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Moises has a chin rating of 14 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Makhachev
Moises
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"+
Height
5'9"
70"
Reach
70"
34
Age
+31
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Makhachev
Moises
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
74.5
39.7
69.8
Performance Avg
42.7
53
Quality of Victory
38
100
Momentum Score
39
Makhachev
Moises
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.9
0.9
60%
Strike Accuracy
44%
3.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.3
3 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
2
0
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
3Distance3
0Clinch0
4Ground0
Makhachev
Moises
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
4.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.2
3.2
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.9
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Makhachev
Moises
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
78
14
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
16 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/29 fights
Chin rating based on
16/29 fights
Makhachev
Moises
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
39
16-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R5
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
Makhachev
Moises
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
65%
50%
3
KO / TKO Wins
1
8
Submission Wins
3
6
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Makhachev
Moises
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.3
4.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.2
3.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.9
4.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.8
7.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.0
4.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.0
MakhachevMoises
Strike Zones
Makhachev
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedMoises
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Makhachev targets the head (100% of attacks) — Moises absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Moises targets the head (67% of attacks) — Makhachev absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Makhachev
RND
Moises
0/0R00/0
Makhachev · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Moises · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Makhachev · Last 5
W · Dec · R5
Jack Della MaddalenaRating 6Decision
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev · 2025-11
W · Sub · R1
Renato MoicanoRating 5.8Submission
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano · 2025-01
W · Sub · R5
Dustin PoirierRating 6.8Submission
UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier · 2024-06
W · KO · R1
Alexander VolkanovskiRating 6.5KO/TKO
UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 · 2023-10
W · Dec · R5
Alexander VolkanovskiRating 6Decision
UFC 284: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski · 2023-02
Moises · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Gauge YoungRating 6.1Decision
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Jared GordonRating 1.9KO/TKO
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W · Dec · R3
Trey OgdenRating 4.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2 · 2025-01
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Ludovit KleinRating 6.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov · 2024-06
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