METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Hill
Las Vegas, USA
20 May 2023
Welterweight
VS
27%
Cosce
73%
Urbina
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 2:55
★ Official Result
Gilbert UrbinawinsKO/TKOR2 · 2:55
def. Orion Cosce · UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Hill
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Urbina
→
Actual result
Urbina wins
KO/TKO · R2
Pre-fight analysis
Urbina is a strong favourite at 73% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 36 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Urbina has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 33 points.
Risk flags
Cosce's chin rating of 56 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Urbina has a chin rating of 44 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
CosceUrbina
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Cosce
Urbina
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'3"
71"
Reach
+75"
32
Age
+30
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Cosce
Urbina
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.9
57.0
28.3
Performance Avg
50.5
25
Quality of Victory
58
27
Momentum Score
65
Cosce
Urbina
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.7
/ 10
10.0
/ 10
1.0
Style: Pressure
8.2
8.7
Style: Volume
0.8
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
8
2
Body
3
2
Leg
6
RangeRange
6Distance16
0Clinch1
0Ground0
Cosce
Urbina
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.4
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Cosce
Urbina
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
56
44
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
3/10 fights
Chin rating based on
6/12 fights
Cosce
Urbina
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
27
65
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Last 5
Upcoming
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
Cosce
Urbina
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
100%
0
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Cosce
Urbina
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
1.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.2
8.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.8
CosceUrbina
Strike Zones
Cosce
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedUrbina
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Cosce targets the head (33% of attacks) — Urbina absorbs 33% of strikes there
🎯Urbina targets the head (47% of attacks) — Cosce absorbs 47% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Cosce
RND
Urbina
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Cosce · Last 3
L · KO · R2
Gilbert UrbinaKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Hill · 2023-05
W · Dec · R3
Blood DiamondDecision
UFC 277: Pena vs. Nunes 2 · 2022-07
L · KO · R2
Phil RoweKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hall vs. Strickland · 2021-07
Urbina · Last 5
Upcoming
Julien LeblancUFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott · 2026-10
W · KO · R1
Vlasto CepoKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Rodriguez · 2026-08
L · KO · R1
Uros MedicKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez · 2025-08
L · KO · R1
Charles RadtkeKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov · 2024-02
W · KO · R2
Orion CosceKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Hill · 2023-05