UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs Faber
Manila, Philippines
16 May 2015
Featherweight
VS
55%
Edgar
45%
Faber
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Edgar
This is a genuine toss-up — Edgar at 55% vs Faber at 45% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Striking split: Edgar throws more volume but Faber connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Edgar's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Faber has a chin rating of 46 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Edgar
Faber
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
5'6"
68"+
Reach
67"
44+
Age
47
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Edgar
Faber
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
25.4
20.8
48.0
Performance Avg
49.4
39
Quality of Victory
42
68
Momentum Score
100
Edgar
Faber
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
0.9
45%
Strike Accuracy
46%
3.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.1
4 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
8
2
Body
2
4
Leg
0
RangeRange
13Distance10
4Clinch0
0Ground0
Edgar
Faber
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.0
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
2.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
5.2
1.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Edgar
Faber
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
46
3 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
5
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.4 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
30/34 fights
Chin rating based on
18/46 fights
Edgar
Faber
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
68
100
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R5
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
Edgar
Faber
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
64%
4
KO / TKO Wins
1
2
Submission Wins
6
12
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Edgar
Faber
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.1
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.2
1.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.7
1.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.5
4.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.3
6.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.1
EdgarFaber
Strike Zones
Edgar
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedFaber
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Edgar targets the head (65% of attacks) — Faber absorbs 65% of strikes there
🎯Faber targets the head (80% of attacks) — Edgar absorbs 80% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Edgar
RND
Faber
0/0R00/0
Edgar · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Faber · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Edgar · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Chris GutierrezRating 2KO/TKO
UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira · 2022-11
L · KO · R3
Marlon VeraRating 4.8KO/TKO
UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2 · 2021-11
L · KO · R1
Cory SandhagenRating 3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Volkov · 2021-02
W · Dec · R5
Pedro MunhozRating 5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Munhoz vs. Edgar · 2020-08
L · KO · R1
Chan Sung JungRating 2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs. The Korean Zombie · 2019-12
Faber · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Petr YanRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC 245: Usman vs. Covington · 2019-12
W · KO · R1
Ricky SimonRating 5.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: De Randamie vs. Ladd · 2019-07
W · Dec · R3
Brad PickettRating 4.5Decision
UFC on FOX: VanZant vs. Waterson · 2016-12
L · Dec · R3
Jimmie RiveraRating 5.5Decision
UFC 203: Miocic vs. Overeem · 2016-09
L · Dec · R5
Dominick CruzRating 5.5Decision
UFC 199: Rockhold vs. Bisping 2 · 2016-06