METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 231: Holloway vs. Ortega
Toronto, Canada
8 Dec 2018
Middleweight
VS
28%
Theodorou
72%
Anders
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Elias TheodorouwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Eryk Anders · UFC 231: Holloway vs. Ortega
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Anders
→
Actual result
Theodorou wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Anders is a strong favourite at 72% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 31 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Anders has a chin rating of 32 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
TheodorouAnders
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Theodorou
Anders
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
6'1"
75"
Reach
75"
38+
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Theodorou
Anders
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.2
50.9
52.0
Performance Avg
45.4
38
Quality of Victory
41
80
Momentum Score
79
Theodorou
Anders
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.0
/ 10
6.0
/ 10
3.9
Style: Pressure
5.1
7.5
Style: Volume
5.0
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
5 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
14
Head
18
7
Body
2
7
Leg
1
RangeRange
23Distance18
5Clinch3
0Ground0
Theodorou
Anders
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.8
/ 10
1.2
/ 10
1.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.8
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Theodorou
Anders
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
94
32
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/19 fights
Chin rating based on
20/27 fights
Theodorou
Anders
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
80
79
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Theodorou
Anders
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
25%
50%
2
KO / TKO Wins
5
0
Submission Wins
0
6
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Theodorou
Anders
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.0
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.1
7.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.0
TheodorouAnders
Strike Zones
Theodorou
Attacking
28 landedAbsorbing
21 absorbedAnders
Attacking
21 landedAbsorbing
28 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Theodorou targets the head (50% of attacks) — Anders absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Anders targets the head (86% of attacks) — Theodorou absorbs 86% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Theodorou
RND
Anders
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Theodorou · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
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W · Dec · R3
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Anders · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
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