UFC 231: Holloway vs. Ortega
Toronto, Canada
8 Dec 2018
Middleweight
VS
28%
Theodorou
72%
Anders
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
ET
Elias Theodorou
"The Spartan"
16 – 3
6'1"75" reachOrthodox37 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 20
Eryk
Eryk Anders
"Ya Boi"
18 – 9
Well-Rounded39 yrsSouthpaw75" reach6'1"
CFR 51

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Anders

Anders is a strong favourite at 72% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 31 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Anders has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Anders has a chin rating of 32 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Theodorou
Anders
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
6'1"
75"
Reach
75"
37+
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Theodorou
Anders
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.2
50.9
52.0
Performance Avg
45.4
38
Quality of Victory
41
80
Momentum Score
79
Theodorou
Anders
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
1.7
44%
Strike Accuracy
53%
4.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.0
2 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
14
Head
18
7
Body
2
7
Leg
1
RangeRange
23Distance18
5Clinch3
0Ground0
Theodorou
Anders
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.2
1.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Theodorou
Anders
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
94
32
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/19 fights
Chin rating based on
20/27 fights
Theodorou
Anders
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
80
79
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Theodorou
Anders
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
25%
50%
2
KO / TKO Wins
5
0
Submission Wins
0
6
Decision Wins
5

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Theodorou
Anders
Striking4.0 / 6.0Volume7.5 / 5.0Grappling1.8 / 1.2Wrestling1.3 / 0.8Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure3.9 / 5.1
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.0
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.1
7.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.0
Theodorou
Strike Zones
Anders
Theodorou
Attacking
14HEAD7BODY7LEGS28 landed
Absorbing
18HEAD2BODY1LEGS21 absorbed
Anders
Attacking
18HEAD2BODY1LEGS21 landed
Absorbing
14HEAD7BODY7LEGS28 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Theodorou targets the head (50% of attacks) — Anders absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Anders targets the head (86% of attacks) — Theodorou absorbs 86% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Theodorou
RND
Anders
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Theodorou · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0105.2W4.5W5.2W5.5L4.5W4.5W5.5L4.5W4.5W5.3W5.8L2014-042015-122017-072018-122019-05
WinLossTrend

Anders · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0105.0W4.5W5.5L5.5W2.8L5.5L6.4L5.0W5.6W5.5L4.5W2.4L6.6L5.9W5.5L4.5W6.1W3.0L4.5W2017-072018-122021-062024-032026-03
WinLossTrend

Theodorou · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Derek BrunsonRating 5.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Iaquinta vs. Cowboy · 2019-05
W · Dec · R3
Eryk AndersRating 5.3
Decision
UFC 231: Holloway vs. Ortega · 2018-12
W · Dec · R3
Trevor SmithRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Till · 2018-05
W · Dec · R3
Daniel KellyRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Tybura · 2017-11
L · Dec · R3
Brad TavaresRating 5.5
Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Redemption Finale · 2017-07

Anders · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Brad TavaresRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos · 2026-03
L · KO · R1
Christian Leroy DuncanRating 3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez · 2025-08
W · KO · R2
Chris WeidmanRating 6.1
KO/TKO
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
W · Dec · R3
Jamie PickettRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev · 2024-03
L · Dec · R3
Marc-Andre BarriaultRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 289: Nunes vs. Aldana · 2023-06

News & Media

Elias Theodorou · Eryk Anders
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