UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez
Las Vegas, USA
9 Aug 2025
Welterweight
VS
60%
Medic
40%
Urbina
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:03
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Medic
Medic holds a meaningful edge at 60% per the CFR ratings — but Urbina has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 25 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Medic has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Medic's chin rating of 54 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Urbina has a chin rating of 44 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Medic
Urbina
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'3"
71"
Reach
+75"
33
Age
+30
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Medic
Urbina
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
71.6
46.9
62.7
Performance Avg
43.0
58
Quality of Victory
55
100
Momentum Score
36
Medic
Urbina
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.9
2.3
63%
Strike Accuracy
45%
10.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
7 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
3
1
Body
1
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
3Distance5
1Clinch0
1Ground0
Medic
Urbina
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
🥊
Pure striking matchup
Neither fighter has significant grappling in their history
0
Submission wins
0
Medic
Urbina
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
54
44
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
2
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/16 fights
Chin rating based on
4/12 fights
Medic
Urbina
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
36
3-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
L · Sub · R2
Medic
Urbina
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
100%
7
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Medic
Urbina
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
9.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.8
1.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.5
MedicUrbina
Strike Zones
Medic
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedUrbina
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Medic targets the head (80% of attacks) — Urbina absorbs 80% of strikes there
🎯Urbina targets the head (60% of attacks) — Medic absorbs 60% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Medic
RND
Urbina
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Medic · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Urbina · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.9WinLossTrend
Medic · Last 5
W · KO · R1
Geoff NealRating 6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez · 2026-02
W · KO · R1
Muslim SalikhovRating 6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown · 2025-11
W · KO · R1
Gilbert UrbinaRating 5.6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez · 2025-08
L · KO · R1
Punahele SorianoRating 2.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2 · 2025-01
W · KO · R1
Tim MeansRating 5.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs. Perez · 2024-04
Urbina · Last 4
L · KO · R1
Uros MedicRating 3.3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez · 2025-08
L · KO · R1
Charles RadtkeRating 2.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov · 2024-02
W · KO · R2
Orion CosceRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Hill · 2023-05
L · Sub · R2
Bryan BattleRating 4.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Chikadze · 2021-08