UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier
Newark, USA
1 Jun 2024
Welterweight
VS
62%
Gall
38%
Hafez
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Gall
Gall holds a meaningful edge at 62% per the CFR ratings — but Hafez has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 17 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Gall has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 23 points.
Gall has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Gall's chin rating of 26 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Gall
Hafez
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
5'11"
74"+
Reach
72"
34
Age
34
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Gall
Hafez
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
45.1
27.7
47.5
Performance Avg
28.3
48
Quality of Victory
25
56
Momentum Score
33
Gall
Hafez
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.8
1.0
51%
Strike Accuracy
38%
0.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.7
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
32
Head
34
1
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
31Distance34
1Clinch0
1Ground1
Gall
Hafez
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
7.1
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
5.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Gall
Hafez
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
26
76
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
3
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/14 fights
Chin rating based on
3/13 fights
Gall
Hafez
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
56
33
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Gall
Hafez
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
83%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
5
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Gall
Hafez
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
7.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
5.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
8.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.0
2.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.7
GallHafez
Strike Zones
Gall
Attacking
33 landedAbsorbing
35 absorbedHafez
Attacking
35 landedAbsorbing
33 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Gall targets the head (97% of attacks) — Hafez absorbs 97% of strikes there
🎯Hafez targets the head (97% of attacks) — Gall absorbs 97% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Gall
RND
Hafez
0/0R00/0
Gall · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Hafez · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.6WinLossTrend
Gall · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Ramiz BrahimajRating 3KO/TKO
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11
L · Dec · R3
Bassil HafezRating 5.5Decision
UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier · 2024-06
L · KO · R1
Mike MalottRating 3.3KO/TKO
UFC 273: Volkanovski vs. The Korean Zombie · 2022-04
L · Dec · R3
Alex MoronoRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Aldo · 2021-12
W · Sub · R1
Jordan WilliamsRating 5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Dillashaw · 2021-07
Hafez · Last 3
L · KO · R3
Oban ElliottRating 4.7KO/TKO
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11
W · Dec · R3
Mickey GallRating 5Decision
UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier · 2024-06
L · Dec · R3
Jack Della MaddalenaRating 7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva · 2023-07

