UFC 239: Jones vs. Santos
Las Vegas, USA
6 Jul 2019
Bantamweight
VS
96%
Vera
4%
Hernandez
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 3:25
Marlon
Marlon Vera
"Chito"
23 – 12
5'8"70" reachSwitch33 yrs4-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 51
NH
Nohelin Hernandez
"Suave"
9 – 4
Well-Rounded2-fight slide32 yrsOrthodox71" reach5'10"
CFR 2

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Vera

Vera is a strong favourite at 96% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 49 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Vera has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 46 points.

Striking split: Vera throws more volume but Hernandez connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Vera
Hernandez
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+5'10"
70"
Reach
+71"
33
Age
+32
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Vera
Hernandez
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
51.4
2.1
50.4
Performance Avg
0.0
46
Quality of Victory
0
39
Momentum Score
0
Vera
Hernandez
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.7
0.7
51%
Strike Accuracy
54%
5.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
7 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
6
1
Body
4
3
Leg
3
RangeRange
6Distance5
0Clinch2
3Ground6
Vera
Hernandez
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.8
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.9
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
2.7
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
4
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Vera
Hernandez
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
78
76
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
2
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
26/35 fights
Chin rating based on
2/13 fights
Vera
Hernandez
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
39
0
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R3
L · Sub · R2
Vera
Hernandez
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
73%
0%
7
KO / TKO Wins
0
4
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Vera
Hernandez
Striking5.8 / 0.0Volume3.3 / 0.0Grappling2.8 / 0.0Wrestling1.9 / 0.0Submission2.7 / 0.0Pressure6.9 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
2.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
2.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
3.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Vera
Strike Zones
Hernandez
Vera
Attacking
5HEAD1BODY3LEGS9 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD4BODY3LEGS13 absorbed
Hernandez
Attacking
6HEAD4BODY3LEGS13 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD1BODY3LEGS9 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Vera targets the head (56% of attacks) — Hernandez absorbs 56% of strikes there
🎯Hernandez targets the head (46% of attacks) — Vera absorbs 46% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Vera
RND
Hernandez
0/0R00/0

Vera · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.8
0105.5L5.2W6.3L4.5W5.5W5.3W5.5L5.7L5.2W5.2W5.0W5.2W5.5W6.8L6.5W6.0L5.3W5.5W5.7W5.4W7.0L5.0W7.0L6.6L6.6L7.2L2014-112018-022020-082023-082026-02
WinLossTrend

Hernandez · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.2
0103.6L4.8L2019-072019-09
WinLossTrend

Vera · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
David MartinezRating 7.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh · 2026-02
L · Dec · R3
Aiemann ZahabiRating 6.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen · 2025-10
L · Dec · R3
Deiveson FigueiredoRating 6.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov · 2024-08
L · Dec · R5
Sean O'MalleyRating 7
Decision
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · 2024-03
W · Dec · R3
Pedro MunhozRating 5
Decision
UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley · 2023-08

Hernandez · Last 2

L · Sub · R3
Jack ShoreRating 4.8
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Cannonier · 2019-09
L · Sub · R2
Marlon VeraRating 3.6
Submission
UFC 239: Jones vs. Santos · 2019-07

News & Media

Marlon Vera · Nohelin Hernandez
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