UFC 236: Holloway vs. Poirier 2
Atlanta, USA
13 Apr 2019
Welterweight
VS
44%
Jouban
56%
Grant
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
AJ
Alan Jouban
"Brahma"
17 – 7
6'0"73" reachSouthpaw44 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 18
DG
Dwight Grant
"The Body Snatcher"
11 – 6
Well-Rounded3-fight slide41 yrsSwitch76" reach6'1"
CFR 23

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Grant

This is a genuine toss-up — Jouban at 44% vs Grant at 56% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Jouban has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Jouban's chin rating of 40 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Grant has a chin rating of 50 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Jouban
Grant
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'1"
73"
Reach
+76"
44
Age
+41
Southpaw
Stance
Switch
Jouban
Grant
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.1
23.2
49.7
Performance Avg
37.0
42
Quality of Victory
37
67
Momentum Score
59
Jouban
Grant
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.8
1.5
51%
Strike Accuracy
36%
6.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.1
4 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
4
1
Body
2
4
Leg
9
RangeRange
6Distance15
0Clinch0
4Ground0
Jouban
Grant
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
1.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.6
0.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Jouban
Grant
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
40
50
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/24 fights
Chin rating based on
8/17 fights
Jouban
Grant
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
67
59
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Jouban
Grant
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
33%
4
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Jouban
Grant
Striking6.2 / 4.1Volume5.2 / 6.1Grappling1.2 / 1.6Wrestling0.8 / 1.1Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure5.3 / 3.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.1
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.6
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.5
5.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.1
Jouban
Strike Zones
Grant
Jouban
Attacking
5HEAD1BODY4LEGS10 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD2BODY9LEGS15 absorbed
Grant
Attacking
4HEAD2BODY9LEGS15 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD1BODY4LEGS10 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Jouban targets the head (50% of attacks) — Grant absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Grant targets the legs (60% of attacks) — Jouban absorbs 60% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Jouban
RND
Grant
0/0R00/0

Jouban · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0105.0W5.7L5.0W4.5W1.5L5.0W5.6W4.5W3.8L2.2L5.2W5.5L5.0W2014-082015-102017-032020-11
WinLossTrend

Grant · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0105.5L5.0W4.5W2.4L4.5W5.5L2.8L5.5L2018-122019-042021-042022-042022-07
WinLossTrend

Jouban · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Jared GoodenRating 5
Decision
UFC 255: Figueiredo vs. Perez · 2020-11
L · Dec · R3
Dwight GrantRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 236: Holloway vs. Poirier 2 · 2019-04
W · KO · R2
Ben SaundersRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Stephens · 2018-02
L · KO · R1
Niko PriceRating 2.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Pettis vs. Moreno · 2017-08
L · Sub · R2
Gunnar NelsonRating 3.8
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Manuwa vs. Anderson · 2017-03

Grant · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Dustin StoltzfusRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez · 2022-07
L · KO · R2
Sergey KhandozhkoRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andrade · 2022-04
L · Dec · R3
Francisco TrinaldoRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Costa vs. Vettori · 2021-10
W · Dec · R3
Stefan SekulicRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 261: Usman vs. Masvidal 2 · 2021-04
L · KO · R1
Daniel RodriguezRating 2.4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Munhoz vs. Edgar · 2020-08

News & Media

Alan Jouban · Dwight Grant
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