METRICS GUIDE

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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Dos Santos
Raleigh, USA
25 Jan 2020
Flyweight
VS
16%
Espinosa
84%
Perez
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 2:33
JE
Jordan Espinosa
"The Gamer"
15 – 9
5'6"69" reachOrthodox36 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 12
Alex
Alex Perez
26 – 10
Well-Rounded34 yrsOrthodox65" reach5'6"
CFR 60
★ Official Result
Alex PerezwinsSubmissionR1 · 2:33
def. Jordan Espinosa · UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Dos Santos

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Perez
→
Actual result
Perez wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis

Perez is a strong favourite at 84% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 48 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Perez has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 25 points.

Risk flags

Perez has a chin rating of 16 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
EspinosaPerez
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Espinosa
Perez
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
5'6"
69"+
Reach
65"
36
Age
+34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Espinosa
Perez
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
11.5
59.7
28.3
Performance Avg
51.2
25
Quality of Victory
50
45
Momentum Score
100
Espinosa
Perez
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.7
/ 10
6.1
/ 10
1.0
Style: Pressure
6.8
8.7
Style: Volume
3.1
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
4 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
0
0
Body
0
1
Leg
2
RangeRange
2Distance2
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Espinosa
Perez
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.4
/ 10
2.6
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.8
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
2.5
0
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Espinosa
Perez
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
72
16
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
2
Sub Losses
3
—
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/24 fights
Chin rating based on
16/36 fights
Espinosa
Perez
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
45
100
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Upcoming
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R3
L · KO · R2
Espinosa
Perez
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
75%
0
KO / TKO Wins
4
0
Submission Wins
2
2
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Espinosa
Perez
Striking0.7 / 6.1Volume8.7 / 3.1Grappling2.4 / 2.6Wrestling1.7 / 1.8Submission0.0 / 2.5Pressure1.0 / 6.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.1
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.6
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
1.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.8
8.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.1
Espinosa
Strike Zones
Perez
Espinosa
Attacking
1HEAD0BODY1LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY2LEGS2 absorbed
Perez
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY2LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD0BODY1LEGS2 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Espinosa targets the head (50% of attacks) — Perez absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Perez targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Espinosa absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Espinosa
RND
Perez
0/0R00/0

Espinosa · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Tim Elliott
Decision
UFC 259: Blachowicz vs. Adesanya · 2021-03
L · Dec · R3
David Dvorak
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Woodley · 2020-09
W · Dec · R3
Mark De La Rosa
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Eye vs. Calvillo · 2020-06
L · Sub · R1
Alex Perez
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Dos Santos · 2020-01
L · Sub · R1
Matt Schnell
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Lawler · 2019-08

Perez · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Sumudaerji
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song · 2026-08
Upcoming
Sumudaerji
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo · 2026-05
W · KO · R1
Charles Johnson
KO/TKO
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · 2026-01
L · Sub · R3
Asu Almabayev
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker · 2025-11
L · KO · R2
Tatsuro Taira
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Perez vs. Taira · 2024-06

News & Media

Jordan Espinosa · Alex Perez
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