UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Dos Santos
Raleigh, USA
25 Jan 2020
Flyweight
VS
16%
Espinosa
84%
Perez
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 2:33
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Perez
Perez is a strong favourite at 84% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 49 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Perez has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 25 points.
Perez has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Perez has a chin rating of 18 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Espinosa
Perez
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
5'6"
69"+
Reach
65"
36
Age
+34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Espinosa
Perez
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
11.5
60.7
28.3
Performance Avg
52.7
25
Quality of Victory
50
45
Momentum Score
100
Espinosa
Perez
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
2.3
48%
Strike Accuracy
49%
0.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.1
0 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
0
0
Body
0
1
Leg
2
RangeRange
2Distance2
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Espinosa
Perez
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.4
/ 10
2.6
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.8
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
2.5
0
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Espinosa
Perez
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
72
18
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
2
Sub Losses
3
—
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/24 fights
Chin rating based on
15/36 fights
Espinosa
Perez
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
45
100
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
Last 5
Upcoming
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R3
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R2
Espinosa
Perez
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
75%
0
KO / TKO Wins
4
0
Submission Wins
2
2
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Espinosa
Perez
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.1
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.6
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
1.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.0
8.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.1
EspinosaPerez
Strike Zones
Espinosa
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedPerez
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Espinosa targets the head (50% of attacks) — Perez absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Perez targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Espinosa absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Espinosa
RND
Perez
0/0R00/0
Espinosa · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.1WinLossTrend
Perez · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Espinosa · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Tim ElliottRating 5.6Decision
UFC 259: Blachowicz vs. Adesanya · 2021-03
L · Dec · R3
David DvorakRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Woodley · 2020-09
W · Dec · R3
Mark De La RosaRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Eye vs. Calvillo · 2020-06
L · Sub · R1
Alex PerezRating 2.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Dos Santos · 2020-01
L · Sub · R1
Matt SchnellRating 1.7Submission
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Lawler · 2019-08
Perez · Last 5
Upcoming
SumudaerjiUFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo · 2026-05
W · KO · R1
Charles JohnsonRating 5.9KO/TKO
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · 2026-01
L · Sub · R3
Asu AlmabayevRating 5.1Submission
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker · 2025-11
L · KO · R2
Tatsuro TairaRating 3.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Perez vs. Taira · 2024-06
W · KO · R2
Matheus NicolauRating 5.3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs. Perez · 2024-04