METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Rampage vs Team Forrest Finale
Las Vegas, USA
21 Jun 2008
Lightweight
VS
28%
Fisher
72%
Stephens
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Spencer FisherwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Jeremy Stephens · The Ultimate Fighter: Team Rampage vs Team Forrest Finale
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Stephens
→
Actual result
Fisher wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Stephens is a strong favourite at 72% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 27 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Fisher's chin rating of 24 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Stephens has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
FisherStephens
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Fisher
Stephens
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'9"
68"
Reach
+71"
50
Age
+40
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Fisher
Stephens
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.7
45.0
43.8
Performance Avg
41.1
38
Quality of Victory
40
89
Momentum Score
76
Fisher
Stephens
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.3
/ 10
5.5
/ 10
4.7
Style: Pressure
4.5
4.6
Style: Volume
4.6
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
7 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
5
3
Body
4
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
10Distance7
0Clinch0
0Ground2
Fisher
Stephens
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.8
/ 10
1.1
/ 10
2.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.8
2.2
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Fisher
Stephens
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
24
0
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
4
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
17/33 fights
Chin rating based on
36/52 fights
Fisher
Stephens
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
89
76
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
7-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Fisher
Stephens
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
44%
47%
2
KO / TKO Wins
7
2
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
8
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Fisher
Stephens
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.5
2.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.1
2.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
2.2
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.5
4.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.6
FisherStephens
Strike Zones
Fisher
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedStephens
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Fisher targets the head (60% of attacks) — Stephens absorbs 60% of strikes there
🎯Stephens targets the head (56% of attacks) — Fisher absorbs 56% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Fisher
RND
Stephens
0/0R00/0
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