The Ultimate Fighter: Team Rampage vs Team Forrest Finale
Las Vegas, USA
21 Jun 2008
Lightweight
VS
28%
Fisher
72%
Stephens
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Stephens
Stephens is a strong favourite at 72% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 27 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Stephens has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Fisher's chin rating of 24 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Stephens has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Fisher
Stephens
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'9"
68"
Reach
+71"
50
Age
+40
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Fisher
Stephens
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.7
45.0
43.8
Performance Avg
41.1
38
Quality of Victory
40
89
Momentum Score
76
Fisher
Stephens
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
1.3
42%
Strike Accuracy
42%
3.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.5
2 KOs
KO Finishes
7 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
5
3
Body
4
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
10Distance7
0Clinch0
0Ground2
Fisher
Stephens
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
2.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.1
2.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Fisher
Stephens
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
24
0
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
4
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
17/33 fights
Chin rating based on
36/52 fights
Fisher
Stephens
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
89
76
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
7-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Fisher
Stephens
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
44%
47%
2
KO / TKO Wins
7
2
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
8
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Fisher
Stephens
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.5
2.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.1
2.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
2.2
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.5
4.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.6
FisherStephens
Strike Zones
Fisher
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedStephens
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Fisher targets the head (60% of attacks) — Stephens absorbs 60% of strikes there
🎯Stephens targets the head (56% of attacks) — Fisher absorbs 56% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Fisher
RND
Stephens
0/0R00/0
Fisher · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Stephens · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
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