METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Dillashaw
Brooklyn, USA
19 Jan 2019
Women's Flyweight
VS
56%
VanZant
44%
Ostovich
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 1:50
★ Official Result
Paige VanZantwinsSubmissionR2 · 1:50
def. Rachael Ostovich · UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Dillashaw
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
VanZant
→
Actual result
VanZant wins
Submission · R2
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — VanZant at 56% vs Ostovich at 44% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Risk flags
VanZant's chin rating of 62 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Ostovich has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
VanZantOstovich
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
VanZant
Ostovich
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'4"+
Height
5'3"
65"+
Reach
62"
32+
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
VanZant
Ostovich
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.6
16.5
49.2
Performance Avg
42.4
45
Quality of Victory
54
84
Momentum Score
36
VanZant
Ostovich
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.1
/ 10
0.5
/ 10
7.3
Style: Pressure
7.8
2.7
Style: Volume
0.5
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
3
1
Body
0
2
Leg
1
RangeRange
3Distance4
0Clinch0
12Ground0
VanZant
Ostovich
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.7
/ 10
8.0
/ 10
2.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
5.6
4.0
Submission Style (/10)
10.0
2
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
VanZant
Ostovich
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
62
54
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
3
Sub Losses
2
—
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/13 fights
Chin rating based on
4/10 fights
VanZant
Ostovich
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
84
36
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R3
W · Sub · R1
VanZant
Ostovich
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
80%
100%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
1
1
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
VanZant
Ostovich
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
3.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
2.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
4.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
7.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.8
2.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.5
VanZantOstovich
Strike Zones
VanZant
Attacking
15 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedOstovich
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
15 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯VanZant targets the head (80% of attacks) — Ostovich absorbs 80% of strikes there
🎯Ostovich targets the head (75% of attacks) — VanZant absorbs 75% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
VanZant
RND
Ostovich
0/0R00/0
VanZant · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Amanda RibasSubmission
UFC 251: Usman vs. Masvidal · 2020-07
W · Sub · R2
Rachael OstovichSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Dillashaw · 2019-01
L · Dec · R3
Jessica-Rose ClarkDecision
UFC Fight Night: Stephens vs. Choi · 2018-01
L · Sub · R1
Michelle Waterson-GomezSubmission
UFC on FOX: VanZant vs. Waterson · 2016-12
W · KO · R2
Bec RawlingsKO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Maia vs. Condit · 2016-08
Ostovich · Last 4
L · KO · R3
Gina MazanyKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Clark · 2020-11
L · Sub · R2
Paige VanZantSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Dillashaw · 2019-01
L · Sub · R3
Montana De La RosaSubmission
The Ultimate Fighter: Undefeated Finale · 2018-07
W · Sub · R1
Karine GevorgyanSubmission
The Ultimate Fighter: A New World Champion Finale · 2017-12