METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Dillashaw
Brooklyn, USA
19 Jan 2019
Women's Flyweight
VS
56%
VanZant
44%
Ostovich
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 1:50
★ Official Result
Paige VanZantwinsSubmissionR2 · 1:50
def. Rachael Ostovich · UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Dillashaw
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
VanZant
→
Actual result
VanZant wins
Submission · R2
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — VanZant at 56% vs Ostovich at 44% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
VanZant has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
VanZant's chin rating of 62 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Ostovich has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
VanZantOstovich
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
VanZant
Ostovich
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'4"+
Height
5'3"
65"+
Reach
62"
32+
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
VanZant
Ostovich
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.6
16.5
49.2
Performance Avg
42.4
45
Quality of Victory
54
84
Momentum Score
36
VanZant
Ostovich
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.2
0.7
58%
Strike Accuracy
45%
5.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.5
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
3
1
Body
0
2
Leg
1
RangeRange
3Distance4
0Clinch0
12Ground0
VanZant
Ostovich
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
3.7
Grappling Style Score (/10)
8.0
2.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
5.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
VanZant
Ostovich
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
62
54
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
3
Sub Losses
2
—
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/13 fights
Chin rating based on
4/10 fights
VanZant
Ostovich
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
84
36
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R3
W · Sub · R1
VanZant
Ostovich
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
80%
100%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
1
1
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
VanZant
Ostovich
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
3.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
2.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
4.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
7.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.8
2.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.5
VanZantOstovich
Strike Zones
VanZant
Attacking
15 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedOstovich
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
15 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯VanZant targets the head (80% of attacks) — Ostovich absorbs 80% of strikes there
🎯Ostovich targets the head (75% of attacks) — VanZant absorbs 75% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
VanZant
RND
Ostovich
0/0R00/0
VanZant · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.4WinLossTrend
Ostovich · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.2WinLossTrend
VanZant · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Amanda RibasRating 1.6Submission
UFC 251: Usman vs. Masvidal · 2020-07
W · Sub · R2
Rachael OstovichRating 5.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Dillashaw · 2019-01
L · Dec · R3
Jessica-Rose ClarkRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Stephens vs. Choi · 2018-01
L · Sub · R1
Michelle Waterson-GomezRating 1.5Submission
UFC on FOX: VanZant vs. Waterson · 2016-12
W · KO · R2
Bec RawlingsRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Maia vs. Condit · 2016-08
Ostovich · Last 4
L · KO · R3
Gina MazanyRating 4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Clark · 2020-11
L · Sub · R2
Paige VanZantRating 2.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Dillashaw · 2019-01
L · Sub · R3
Montana De La RosaRating 5Submission
The Ultimate Fighter: Undefeated Finale · 2018-07
W · Sub · R1
Karine GevorgyanRating 5Submission
The Ultimate Fighter: A New World Champion Finale · 2017-12