METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh
Mexico City, Mexico
28 Feb 2026
Flyweight
VS
55%
Chairez
45%
Bunes
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
CFR 59
★ Official Result
Edgar ChairezwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Felipe Bunes · UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Chairez
→
Actual result
Chairez wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Chairez at 55% vs Bunes at 45% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 11 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
ChairezBunes
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Chairez
Bunes
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
5'7"
71"+
Reach
69"
30+
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Chairez
Bunes
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
58.5
47.4
54.7
Performance Avg
42.4
47
Quality of Victory
54
54
Momentum Score
29
Chairez
Bunes
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.3
/ 10
0.5
/ 10
7.3
Style: Pressure
7.8
3.3
Style: Volume
0.5
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
26
Head
26
11
Body
2
4
Leg
1
RangeRange
40Distance29
0Clinch0
1Ground0
Chairez
Bunes
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
6.6
/ 10
8.0
/ 10
4.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
5.6
7.5
Submission Style (/10)
10.0
3
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Chairez
Bunes
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
96
74
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/19 fights
Chin rating based on
4/23 fights
Chairez
Bunes
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
54
29
3-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
Chairez
Bunes
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
75%
100%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
3
Submission Wins
1
1
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Chairez
Bunes
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
6.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
4.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
7.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
7.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.8
3.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.5
ChairezBunes
Strike Zones
Chairez
Attacking
41 landedAbsorbing
29 absorbedBunes
Attacking
29 landedAbsorbing
41 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Chairez targets the head (63% of attacks) — Bunes absorbs 63% of strikes there
🎯Bunes targets the head (90% of attacks) — Chairez absorbs 90% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Chairez
RND
Bunes
0/0R00/0
Chairez · Last 5
Upcoming
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