UFC 191: Johnson vs Dodson 2
Las Vegas, USA
5 Sept 2015
Light Heavyweight
VS
71%
Blachowicz
29%
Anderson
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Blachowicz
Blachowicz is a strong favourite at 71% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 28 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Anderson throws more volume but Blachowicz connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Blachowicz's chin rating of 54 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Anderson has a chin rating of 10 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Blachowicz
Anderson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"
Height
+6'3"
78"
Reach
+79"
43
Age
+36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Blachowicz
Anderson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
46.4
18.8
53.0
Performance Avg
50.1
48
Quality of Victory
39
20
Momentum Score
98
Blachowicz
Anderson
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
1.4
51%
Strike Accuracy
47%
5.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.3
5 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
19
0
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
0Distance1
0Clinch0
0Ground19
Blachowicz
Anderson
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.3
/ 10
1.7
/ 10
1.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.2
1.7
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Blachowicz
Anderson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
54
10
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
4
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
11 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
22/40 fights
Chin rating based on
15/19 fights
Blachowicz
Anderson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
20
98
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Upcoming
W · KO · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Blachowicz
Anderson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
58%
30%
5
KO / TKO Wins
3
2
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
7
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Blachowicz
Anderson
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.3
2.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.7
1.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.2
1.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.1
4.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.9
BlachowiczAnderson
Strike Zones
Blachowicz
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
20 absorbedAnderson
Attacking
20 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Anderson targets the head (95% of attacks) — Blachowicz absorbs 95% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Blachowicz
RND
Anderson
0/0R00/0
Blachowicz · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.3WinLossTrend
Anderson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.4WinLossTrend
Blachowicz · Last 5
Upcoming
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L · Dec · R3
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UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady · 2025-03
L · Dec · R3
Alex PereiraRating 7.6Decision
UFC 291: Poirier vs. Gaethje 2 · 2023-07
Upcoming
Magomed AnkalaevDecision
UFC 282: Blachowicz vs. Ankalaev · 2022-12
W · KO · R3
Aleksandar RakicRating 5.4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Rakic · 2022-05
Anderson · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Jan BlachowiczRating 2.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Anderson vs. Blachowicz · 2020-02
W · KO · R1
Johnny WalkerRating 5.8KO/TKO
UFC 244: Masvidal vs. Diaz · 2019-11
W · Dec · R3
Ilir LatifiRating 4.5Decision
UFC 232: Jones vs. Gustafsson 2 · 2018-12
W · Dec · R3
Glover TeixeiraRating 4.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs. Smith · 2018-07
W · Dec · R3
Patrick CumminsRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Lee · 2018-04