UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Rozenstruik
Las Vegas, USA
4 Jun 2022
Flyweight
VS
53%
Molina
47%
Zhumagulov
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
JM
Jeff Molina
"El Jefe"
11 – 2
5'6"69" reachOrthodox28 yrs3-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 37
ZZ
Zhalgas Zhumagulov
14 – 9
Submission Hunter4-fight slide37 yrsSwitch66" reach5'4"
CFR 33

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Molina

This is a genuine toss-up — Molina at 53% vs Zhumagulov at 47% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Zhumagulov has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 19 points.

Molina has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Zhumagulov has a chin rating of 68 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Molina
Zhumagulov
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"+
Height
5'4"
69"+
Reach
66"
28+
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Molina
Zhumagulov
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
37.1
33.0
61.0
Performance Avg
38.1
35
Quality of Victory
54
100
Momentum Score
26
Molina
Zhumagulov
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
4.6
2.0
54%
Strike Accuracy
37%
5.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.3
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
25
Head
3
2
Body
9
2
Leg
4
RangeRange
25Distance15
2Clinch1
2Ground0
Molina
Zhumagulov
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.6
/ 10
8.0
/ 10
1.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
5.6
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
10.0
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Molina
Zhumagulov
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
100
68
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
3/13 fights
Chin rating based on
7/23 fights
Molina
Zhumagulov
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
26
3-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
Molina
Zhumagulov
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
100%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
2
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Molina
Zhumagulov
Striking5.3 / 0.3Volume7.3 / 0.3Grappling1.6 / 8.0Wrestling1.1 / 5.6Submission0.0 / 10.0Pressure5.3 / 7.4
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.3
1.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
5.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.4
7.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.3
Molina
Strike Zones
Zhumagulov
Molina
Attacking
25HEAD2BODY2LEGS29 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD9BODY4LEGS16 absorbed
Zhumagulov
Attacking
3HEAD9BODY4LEGS16 landed
Absorbing
25HEAD2BODY2LEGS29 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Molina targets the head (86% of attacks) — Zhumagulov absorbs 86% of strikes there
🎯Zhumagulov targets the body (56% of attacks) — Molina absorbs 56% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Molina
RND
Zhumagulov
0/0R00/0

Molina · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0105.3W5.2W4.5W2021-042021-102022-06
WinLossTrend

Zhumagulov · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.7
0105.5L6.8L5.0W3.2L5.6L6.4L7.1L2020-072021-072022-062023-06
WinLossTrend

Molina · Last 3

W · Dec · R3
Zhalgas ZhumagulovRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Rozenstruik · 2022-06
W · KO · R2
Daniel LacerdaRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Costa vs. Vettori · 2021-10
W · Dec · R3
AoriqilengRating 5.3
Decision
UFC 261: Usman vs. Masvidal 2 · 2021-04

Zhumagulov · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Joshua VanRating 7.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria · 2023-06
L · Dec · R3
Charles JohnsonRating 6.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. Cutelaba · 2022-11
L · Dec · R3
Jeff MolinaRating 5.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Rozenstruik · 2022-06
L · KO · R1
Manel KapeRating 3.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Aldo · 2021-12
W · Sub · R1
Jerome RiveraRating 5
Submission
UFC 264: Poirier vs. McGregor 3 · 2021-07

News & Media

Jeff Molina · Zhalgas Zhumagulov
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