METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs Saffiedine
Halifax, Canada
4 Oct 2014
Middleweight
VS
65%
Theodorou
35%
Santos
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Elias TheodorouwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Bruno Santos · UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs Saffiedine
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Theodorou
→
Actual result
Theodorou wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Theodorou holds a meaningful edge at 65% per the CFR ratings — but Santos has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 9 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Theodorou has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
TheodorouSantos
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Theodorou
Santos
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
5'9"
75"
Reach
38+
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Theodorou
Santos
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.2
10.9
52.0
Performance Avg
28.3
38
Quality of Victory
25
80
Momentum Score
27
Theodorou
Santos
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.0
/ 10
0.7
/ 10
3.9
Style: Pressure
1.0
7.5
Style: Volume
8.7
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
0
3
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
6Distance0
2Clinch0
6Ground0
Theodorou
Santos
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.8
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
1.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Theodorou
Santos
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
94
96
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/19 fights
Chin rating based on
3/17 fights
Theodorou
Santos
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
80
27
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Theodorou
Santos
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
25%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
6
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Theodorou
Santos
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.0
7.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.7
TheodorouSantos
Strike Zones
Theodorou
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedSantos
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Theodorou targets the head (79% of attacks) — Santos absorbs 79% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Theodorou
RND
Santos
0/0R00/0
Theodorou · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Derek BrunsonDecision
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Eryk AndersDecision
UFC 231: Holloway vs. Ortega · 2018-12
W · Dec · R3
Trevor SmithDecision
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Till · 2018-05
W · Dec · R3
Daniel KellyDecision
UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Tybura · 2017-11
L · Dec · R3
Brad TavaresDecision
The Ultimate Fighter: Redemption Finale · 2017-07
Santos · Last 3
L · Dec · R3
Elias TheodorouDecision
UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs Saffiedine · 2014-10
W · Dec · R3
Chris CamozziDecision
UFC 175: Weidman vs Machida · 2014-07
L · Dec · R3
Krzysztof JotkoDecision
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Bigfoot · 2013-12