UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs Saffiedine
Halifax, Canada
4 Oct 2014
Middleweight
VS
65%
Theodorou
35%
Santos
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
ET
Elias Theodorou
"The Spartan"
16 – 3
6'1"75" reachOrthodox37 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 20
BS
Bruno Santos
"Carioca"
15 – 2
Well-Rounded38 yrsOrthodox5'9"
CFR 11

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Theodorou

Theodorou holds a meaningful edge at 65% per the CFR ratings — but Santos has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 9 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Theodorou has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.

Theodorou has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Theodorou
Santos
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
5'9"
75"
Reach
37+
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Theodorou
Santos
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.2
10.9
52.0
Performance Avg
28.3
38
Quality of Victory
25
80
Momentum Score
27
Theodorou
Santos
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
0.2
44%
Strike Accuracy
35%
4.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.7
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
0
3
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
6Distance0
2Clinch0
6Ground0
Theodorou
Santos
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
—
1.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
1.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Theodorou
Santos
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
94
96
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/19 fights
Chin rating based on
3/17 fights
Theodorou
Santos
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
80
27
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Theodorou
Santos
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
25%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
6
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Theodorou
Santos
Striking4.0 / 0.7Volume7.5 / 8.7Grappling1.8 / 2.4Wrestling1.3 / 1.7Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure3.9 / 1.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.0
7.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.7
Theodorou
Strike Zones
Santos
Theodorou
Attacking
11HEAD3BODY0LEGS14 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 absorbed
Santos
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 landed
Absorbing
11HEAD3BODY0LEGS14 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Theodorou targets the head (79% of attacks) — Santos absorbs 79% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Theodorou
RND
Santos
0/0R00/0

Theodorou · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0105.2W4.5W5.2W5.5L4.5W4.5W5.5L4.5W4.5W5.3W5.8L2014-042015-122017-072018-122019-05
WinLossTrend

Santos · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.2
0105.5L4.5W5.5L2013-122014-072014-10
WinLossTrend

Theodorou · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Derek BrunsonRating 5.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Iaquinta vs. Cowboy · 2019-05
W · Dec · R3
Eryk AndersRating 5.3
Decision
UFC 231: Holloway vs. Ortega · 2018-12
W · Dec · R3
Trevor SmithRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Till · 2018-05
W · Dec · R3
Daniel KellyRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Tybura · 2017-11
L · Dec · R3
Brad TavaresRating 5.5
Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Redemption Finale · 2017-07

Santos · Last 3

L · Dec · R3
Elias TheodorouRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs Saffiedine · 2014-10
W · Dec · R3
Chris CamozziRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 175: Weidman vs Machida · 2014-07
L · Dec · R3
Krzysztof JotkoRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Bigfoot · 2013-12

News & Media

Elias Theodorou · Bruno Santos
← Back to fights