METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 107: Penn vs Sanchez
Memphis, USA
12 Dec 2009
Welterweight
VS
53%
Grant
47%
Burns
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 4:57
★ Official Result
TJ GrantwinsKO/TKOR1 · 4:57
def. Kevin Burns · UFC 107: Penn vs Sanchez
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Grant
→
Actual result
Grant wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Grant at 53% vs Burns at 47% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Risk flags
Burns has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
GrantBurns
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Grant
Burns
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
5'10"
72"
Reach
+74"
42+
Age
46
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Grant
Burns
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.8
18.6
53.5
Performance Avg
45.8
41
Quality of Victory
50
75
Momentum Score
59
Grant
Burns
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.2
/ 10
5.8
/ 10
5.7
Style: Pressure
8.2
5.5
Style: Volume
0.8
3 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
11
8
Body
0
10
Leg
3
RangeRange
14Distance3
8Clinch3
6Ground8
Grant
Burns
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.2
/ 10
4.0
/ 10
1.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.8
1.3
Submission Style (/10)
5.0
1
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Grant
Burns
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
94
54
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/26 fights
Chin rating based on
5/19 fights
Grant
Burns
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
75
59
5-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R3
W · Sub · R2
Grant
Burns
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
100%
3
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
1
4
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Grant
Burns
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.8
2.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.0
1.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.8
1.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
5.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.2
5.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.8
GrantBurns
Strike Zones
Grant
Attacking
28 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedBurns
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
28 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Grant targets the head (36% of attacks) — Burns absorbs 36% of strikes there
🎯Burns targets the head (79% of attacks) — Grant absorbs 79% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Grant
RND
Burns
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Grant · Last 5
W · KO · R1
Gray MaynardKO/TKO
UFC 160: Velasquez vs Silva 2 · 2013-05
W · KO · R1
Matt WimanKO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs Dodson · 2013-01
W · Dec · R3
Evan DunhamDecision
UFC 152: Jones vs Belfort · 2012-09
W · Dec · R3
Carlo PraterDecision
UFC on FUEL TV: Korean Zombie vs Poirier · 2012-05
W · Sub · R3
Shane RollerSubmission
UFC Live: Cruz vs Johnson · 2011-10
Burns · Last 5
L · KO · R1
TJ GrantKO/TKO
UFC 107: Penn vs Sanchez · 2009-12
L · Dec · R3
Chris LytleDecision
The Ultimate Fighter: United States vs. United Kingdom Finale · 2009-06
L · KO · R3
Anthony JohnsonKO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Nogueira vs. Team Mir Finale · 2008-12
W · KO · R3
Anthony JohnsonKO/TKO
UFC: Silva vs Irvin · 2008-07
W · Sub · R2
Roan CarneiroSubmission
UFC 85: Bedlam · 2008-06