METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal
Las Vegas, USA
25 Apr 2026
Heavyweight
VS
13%
Buchecha
87%
Spann
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 2:10
★ Official Result
Ryan SpannwinsKO/TKOR2 · 2:10
def. Marcus Buchecha · UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Spann
→
Actual result
Spann wins
KO/TKO · R2
Pre-fight analysis
Spann is a strong favourite at 87% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 36 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Spann has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 50 points.
Risk flags
Spann has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
BuchechaSpann
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Buchecha
Spann
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"
Height
+6'5"
77"
Reach
+79"
36
Age
+35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Buchecha
Spann
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
6.1
41.9
0.0
Performance Avg
53.3
0
Quality of Victory
50
0
Momentum Score
10
Buchecha
Spann
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.0
/ 10
5.2
/ 10
0.0
Style: Pressure
7.4
0.0
Style: Volume
2.8
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
4 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
4
0
Body
0
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
4Distance5
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Buchecha
Spann
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.0
/ 10
3.7
/ 10
0.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.6
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
4.0
0
Submission wins
4
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Buchecha
Spann
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
76
0
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
4
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.8 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
3/8 fights
Chin rating based on
17/35 fights
Buchecha
Spann
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
10
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R2
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R2
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R1
Buchecha
Spann
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
80%
0
KO / TKO Wins
4
0
Submission Wins
4
0
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Buchecha
Spann
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.2
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.7
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.0
0.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.4
0.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.8
BuchechaSpann
Strike Zones
Buchecha
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedSpann
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Buchecha targets the head (75% of attacks) — Spann absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Spann targets the head (80% of attacks) — Buchecha absorbs 80% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Buchecha
RND
Spann
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Buchecha · Last 3
L · KO · R2
Ryan SpannKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal · 2026-04
Upcoming
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Spann · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Mario PintoKO/TKO
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W · KO · R2
Marcus BuchechaKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal · 2026-04
W · Sub · R1
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L · KO · R2
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