METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 143: Diaz vs Condit
Las Vegas, USA
4 Feb 2012
Middleweight
VS
79%
Herman
21%
Starks
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 1:43
★ Official Result
Ed HermanwinsSubmissionR2 · 1:43
def. Clifford Starks · UFC 143: Diaz vs Condit
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Herman
→
Actual result
Herman wins
Submission · R2
Pre-fight analysis
Herman is a strong favourite at 79% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 29 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Herman has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 19 points.
Herman has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Herman's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Starks has a chin rating of 66 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
HermanStarks
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Herman
Starks
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
6'0"
77"
Reach
+78"
45
Age
45
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Herman
Starks
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
38.7
10.0
47.4
Performance Avg
28.3
44
Quality of Victory
25
82
Momentum Score
27
Herman
Starks
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.0
0.4
47%
Strike Accuracy
27%
4.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.7
4 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
1
4
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance1
3Clinch0
0Ground0
Herman
Starks
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
—
3.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
2.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Herman
Starks
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
66
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
4
KO/TKO Losses
1
2
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
26/43 fights
Chin rating based on
3/16 fights
Herman
Starks
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
82
27
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
Herman
Starks
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
69%
0%
4
KO / TKO Wins
0
5
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Herman
Starks
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
3.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
2.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
3.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.0
3.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.7
HermanStarks
Strike Zones
Herman
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedStarks
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Herman targets the body (100% of attacks) — Starks absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Starks targets the head (100% of attacks) — Herman absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Herman
RND
Starks
0/0R00/0
Herman · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Starks · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.4WinLossTrend
Herman · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Zak CummingsRating 4.4KO/TKO
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L · Dec · R3
Alonzo MenifieldRating 6.4Decision
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W · Sub · R3
Mike RodriguezRating 5.5Submission
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W · Dec · R3
Khadis IbragimovRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Zabit vs. Kattar · 2019-11
W · KO · R1
Patrick CumminsRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Lee · 2019-05
Starks · Last 3
L · KO · R1
Yoel RomeroRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Melendez · 2013-04
L · Sub · R2
Ed HermanRating 2.9Submission
UFC 143: Diaz vs Condit · 2012-02
W · Dec · R3
Dustin JacobyRating 5.9Decision
UFC 137: Penn vs Diaz · 2011-10