UFC 143: Diaz vs Condit
Las Vegas, USA
4 Feb 2012
Middleweight
VS
79%
Herman
21%
Starks
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 1:43
EH
Ed Herman
"Short Fuse"
27 – 16
6'1"77" reachOrthodox45 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 39
CS
Clifford Starks
13 – 3
Well-Rounded2-fight slide45 yrsOrthodox78" reach6'0"
CFR 10

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Herman

Herman is a strong favourite at 79% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 29 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Herman has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 19 points.

Herman has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Herman's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Starks has a chin rating of 66 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Herman
Starks
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
6'0"
77"
Reach
+78"
45
Age
45
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Herman
Starks
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
38.7
10.0
47.4
Performance Avg
28.3
44
Quality of Victory
25
82
Momentum Score
27
Herman
Starks
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
0.4
47%
Strike Accuracy
27%
4.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.7
4 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
1
4
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance1
3Clinch0
0Ground0
Herman
Starks
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
—
3.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
2.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Herman
Starks
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
66
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
4
KO/TKO Losses
1
2
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
26/43 fights
Chin rating based on
3/16 fights
Herman
Starks
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
82
27
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
Herman
Starks
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
69%
0%
4
KO / TKO Wins
0
5
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Herman
Starks
Striking4.1 / 0.7Volume3.5 / 8.7Grappling3.8 / 2.4Wrestling2.7 / 1.7Submission3.9 / 0.0Pressure6.4 / 1.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
3.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
2.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
3.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.0
3.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.7
Herman
Strike Zones
Starks
Herman
Attacking
0HEAD4BODY0LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD0BODY0LEGS1 absorbed
Starks
Attacking
1HEAD0BODY0LEGS1 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD4BODY0LEGS4 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Herman targets the body (100% of attacks) — Starks absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Starks targets the head (100% of attacks) — Herman absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Herman
RND
Starks
0/0R00/0

Herman · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0105.5L1.5L5.0W5.2W5.5W2.8L5.5L4.5W2.8L5.0W5.0W5.2W4.5W5.5L4.5W1.8L5.2W4.0L5.5L5.5L5.0W4.5W5.5W6.4L4.4L2006-062009-042014-052019-112023-04
WinLossTrend

Starks · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.4
0105.9W2.9L1.5L2011-102012-022013-04
WinLossTrend

Herman · Last 5

L · KO · R3
Zak CummingsRating 4.4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen · 2023-04
L · Dec · R3
Alonzo MenifieldRating 6.4
Decision
UFC 265: Lewis vs. Gane · 2021-08
W · Sub · R3
Mike RodriguezRating 5.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Waterson vs. Hill · 2020-09
W · Dec · R3
Khadis IbragimovRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Zabit vs. Kattar · 2019-11
W · KO · R1
Patrick CumminsRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Lee · 2019-05

Starks · Last 3

L · KO · R1
Yoel RomeroRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Melendez · 2013-04
L · Sub · R2
Ed HermanRating 2.9
Submission
UFC 143: Diaz vs Condit · 2012-02
W · Dec · R3
Dustin JacobyRating 5.9
Decision
UFC 137: Penn vs Diaz · 2011-10

News & Media

Ed Herman · Clifford Starks
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