UFC Fight Night: Hall vs. Silva
Las Vegas, USA
31 Oct 2020
Bantamweight
VS
94%
Johns
6%
Natividad
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 2:51
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Johns
Johns is a strong favourite at 94% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 32 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Johns has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 33 points.
Johns has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Johns's chin rating of 50 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Natividad has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Johns
Natividad
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"+
Height
5'6"
68"
Reach
+70"
32+
Age
33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Johns
Natividad
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
34.7
2.4
41.8
Performance Avg
0.0
33
Quality of Victory
0
10
Momentum Score
0
Johns
Natividad
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
0.9
40%
Strike Accuracy
36%
4.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
7
2
Body
3
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
13Distance10
1Clinch0
0Ground0
Johns
Natividad
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
1.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
1.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Johns
Natividad
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
50
54
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
10 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/20 fights
Chin rating based on
3/13 fights
Johns
Natividad
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
10
0
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R3
Johns
Natividad
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Johns
Natividad
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
1.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
6.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
JohnsNatividad
Strike Zones
Johns
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedNatividad
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Johns targets the head (71% of attacks) — Natividad absorbs 71% of strikes there
🎯Natividad targets the head (70% of attacks) — Johns absorbs 70% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Johns
RND
Natividad
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Johns · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Natividad · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.9WinLossTrend
Johns · Last 5
L · Sub · R2
Daniel MarcosRating 4Submission
UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown · 2025-11
L · Dec · R3
Jean MatsumotoRating 6.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez · 2025-08
L · Dec · R3
Felipe LimaRating 6.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley · 2024-12
W · Dec · R3
Douglas Silva de AndradeRating 4.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Perez vs. Taira · 2024-06
W · Dec · R3
Cody GibsonRating 4.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas · 2024-03
Natividad · Last 3
L · Dec · R3
Ricky TurciosRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. Cutelaba · 2022-11
L · KO · R1
Batgerel DanaaRating 2.1KO/TKO
UFC 261: Usman vs. Masvidal 2 · 2021-04
L · KO · R3
Miles JohnsRating 4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hall vs. Silva · 2020-10