METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs. Ponzinibbio
Glasgow, United Kingdom
16 Jul 2017
Welterweight
VS
7%
Ward
93%
Bofando
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 2:10
★ Official Result
Galore BofandowinsKO/TKOR1 · 2:10
def. Charlie Ward · UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs. Ponzinibbio
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Bofando
→
Actual result
Bofando wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Bofando is a strong favourite at 93% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 21 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Bofando has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 60 points.
Bofando has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Ward's chin rating of 56 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
WardBofando
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Ward
Bofando
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
5'11"
Reach
72"
45
Age
+44
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Ward
Bofando
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
1.6
22.5
0.0
Performance Avg
56.0
0
Quality of Victory
60
0
Momentum Score
71
Ward
Bofando
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.0
4.6
19%
Strike Accuracy
45%
0.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
6
1
Body
2
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
3Distance8
0Clinch0
0Ground2
Ward
Bofando
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
🥊
Pure striking matchup
Neither fighter has significant grappling in their history
0
Submission wins
0
Ward
Bofando
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
56
78
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
2/6 fights
Chin rating based on
2/8 fights
Ward
Bofando
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
71
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Ward
Bofando
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
100%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Ward
Bofando
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
0.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.5
0.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.0
WardBofando
Strike Zones
Ward
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedBofando
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Ward targets the head (67% of attacks) — Bofando absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Bofando targets the head (60% of attacks) — Ward absorbs 60% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Ward
RND
Bofando
0/0R00/0
Ward · QOF Timeline
Avg: 2.3WinLossTrend
Bofando · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.3WinLossTrend
Ward · Last 2
L · KO · R1
Galore BofandoRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs. Ponzinibbio · 2017-07
L · KO · R1
Abdul Razak AlhassanRating 3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Mousasi vs. Hall 2 · 2016-11
Bofando · Last 2
L · KO · R1
Chad LapriseRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lawler vs. Dos Anjos · 2017-12
W · KO · R1
Charlie WardRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs. Ponzinibbio · 2017-07