UFC 181: Hendricks vs Lawler II
Las Vegas, USA
6 Dec 2014
Lightweight
VS
68%
Ferguson
32%
Trujillo
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 4:19
Tony
Tony Ferguson
"El Cucuy"
26 – 11
5'11"76" reachOrthodox42 yrs8-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 45
AT
Abel Trujillo
"Killa"
15 – 8
Well-Rounded2-fight slide42 yrsOrthodox70" reach5'8"
CFR 21

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Ferguson

Ferguson holds a meaningful edge at 68% per the CFR ratings — but Trujillo has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 24 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Ferguson has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Ferguson's chin rating of 12 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Ferguson
Trujillo
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'8"
76"+
Reach
70"
42
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Ferguson
Trujillo
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
45.2
21.4
54.2
Performance Avg
51.4
49
Quality of Victory
46
52
Momentum Score
90
Ferguson
Trujillo
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.9
1.2
47%
Strike Accuracy
44%
3.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.2
3 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
0
3
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
5Distance1
1Clinch0
1Ground0
Ferguson
Trujillo
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
3.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.7
2.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.2
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Ferguson
Trujillo
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
12
72
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
3
Sub Losses
2
Avg R3.5 stoppage
KO round context
—
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
24/37 fights
Chin rating based on
11/23 fights
Ferguson
Trujillo
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
52
90
8-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
L · Sub · R4
L · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · R1
Ferguson
Trujillo
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
60%
67%
3
KO / TKO Wins
3
6
Submission Wins
1
6
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Ferguson
Trujillo
Striking3.3 / 6.2Volume3.4 / 2.5Grappling3.8 / 1.7Wrestling2.7 / 1.2Submission4.0 / 1.7Pressure6.1 / 6.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.2
3.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.7
2.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.2
4.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.7
6.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.5
3.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.5
Ferguson
Strike Zones
Trujillo
Ferguson
Attacking
4HEAD3BODY0LEGS7 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD1BODY0LEGS1 absorbed
Trujillo
Attacking
0HEAD1BODY0LEGS1 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD3BODY0LEGS7 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Ferguson targets the head (57% of attacks) — Trujillo absorbs 57% of strikes there
🎯Trujillo targets the body (100% of attacks) — Ferguson absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Ferguson
RND
Trujillo
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Ferguson · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0105.0W4.0W4.5W5.6L5.0W5.0W4.5W5.2W5.0W4.5W5.7W5.8W4.7W5.3W5.2W4.2W5.6L6.9L6.5L3.5L3.4L4.7L7.2L2.3L2011-062014-082016-112021-052024-08
WinLossTrend

Trujillo · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0105.2W5.5L5.2W5.2W3.3L4.0W5.0W4.5W4.0L5.5L2012-122014-022016-012017-12
WinLossTrend

Ferguson · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Michael ChiesaRating 2.3
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov · 2024-08
L · Dec · R3
Paddy PimblettRating 7.2
Decision
UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington · 2023-12
L · Sub · R3
King GreenRating 4.7
Submission
UFC 291: Poirier vs. Gaethje 2 · 2023-07
L · Sub · R4
Nate DiazRating 3.4
Submission
UFC 279: Diaz vs. Ferguson · 2022-09
L · KO · R2
Michael ChandlerRating 3.5
KO/TKO
UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje · 2022-05

Trujillo · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
John MakdessiRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lawler vs. Dos Anjos · 2017-12
L · Sub · R3
James VickRating 4
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Bermudez vs. The Korean Zombie · 2017-02
W · Dec · R3
Jordan RinaldiRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs Garbrandt · 2016-05
W · Sub · R1
Tony SimsRating 5
Submission
UFC 195: Lawler vs Condit · 2016-01
W · R1
Gleison TibauRating 4
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Henderson 3 · 2015-11

News & Media

Tony Ferguson · Abel Trujillo
← Back to fights