METRICS GUIDE

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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 181: Hendricks vs Lawler II
Las Vegas, USA
6 Dec 2014
Lightweight
VS
68%
Ferguson
32%
Trujillo
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 4:19
Tony
Tony Ferguson
"El Cucuy"
26 – 11
5'11"76" reachOrthodox42 yrs8-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 45
AT
Abel Trujillo
"Killa"
15 – 8
Well-Rounded2-fight slide42 yrsOrthodox70" reach5'8"
CFR 21
★ Official Result
Tony FergusonwinsSubmissionR2 · 4:19
def. Abel Trujillo · UFC 181: Hendricks vs Lawler II

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Ferguson
→
Actual result
Ferguson wins
Submission · R2
Pre-fight analysis

Ferguson holds a meaningful edge at 68% per the CFR ratings — but Trujillo has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 24 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Risk flags

Ferguson's chin rating of 12 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
FergusonTrujillo
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Ferguson
Trujillo
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'8"
76"+
Reach
70"
42
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Ferguson
Trujillo
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
45.2
21.4
54.2
Performance Avg
51.4
49
Quality of Victory
46
52
Momentum Score
90
Ferguson
Trujillo
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.3
/ 10
6.2
/ 10
6.1
Style: Pressure
6.5
3.4
Style: Volume
2.5
3 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
3 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
0
3
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
5Distance1
1Clinch0
1Ground0
Ferguson
Trujillo
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.8
/ 10
1.7
/ 10
2.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.2
4.0
Submission Style (/10)
1.7
6
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Ferguson
Trujillo
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
12
72
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
3
Sub Losses
2
Avg R3.5 stoppage
KO round context
—
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
24/37 fights
Chin rating based on
11/23 fights
Ferguson
Trujillo
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
52
90
8-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
L · Sub · R4
L · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · R1
Ferguson
Trujillo
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
60%
67%
3
KO / TKO Wins
3
6
Submission Wins
1
6
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Ferguson
Trujillo
Striking3.3 / 6.2Volume3.4 / 2.5Grappling3.8 / 1.7Wrestling2.7 / 1.2Submission4.0 / 1.7Pressure6.1 / 6.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.2
3.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.7
2.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.2
4.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.7
6.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.5
3.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.5
Ferguson
Strike Zones
Trujillo
Ferguson
Attacking
4HEAD3BODY0LEGS7 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD1BODY0LEGS1 absorbed
Trujillo
Attacking
0HEAD1BODY0LEGS1 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD3BODY0LEGS7 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Ferguson targets the head (57% of attacks) — Trujillo absorbs 57% of strikes there
🎯Trujillo targets the body (100% of attacks) — Ferguson absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Ferguson
RND
Trujillo
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Ferguson · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Michael Chiesa
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov · 2024-08
L · Dec · R3
Paddy Pimblett
Decision
UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington · 2023-12
L · Sub · R3
King Green
Submission
UFC 291: Poirier vs. Gaethje 2 · 2023-07
L · Sub · R4
Nate Diaz
Submission
UFC 279: Diaz vs. Ferguson · 2022-09
L · KO · R2
Michael Chandler
KO/TKO
UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje · 2022-05

Trujillo · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
John Makdessi
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lawler vs. Dos Anjos · 2017-12
L · Sub · R3
James Vick
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Bermudez vs. The Korean Zombie · 2017-02
W · Dec · R3
Jordan Rinaldi
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs Garbrandt · 2016-05
W · Sub · R1
Tony Sims
Submission
UFC 195: Lawler vs Condit · 2016-01
W · R1
Gleison Tibau
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Henderson 3 · 2015-11

News & Media

Tony Ferguson · Abel Trujillo
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