UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Leites
Glasgow, United Kingdom
18 Jul 2015
Lightweight
VS
42%
Lebout
58%
Packalen
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
ML
Mickael Lebout
"Ragnar"
16 – 7
5'11"73" reachOrthodox38 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 12
TP
Teemu Packalen
"Pacu"
8 – 3
Submission Hunter2-fight slide39 yrsOrthodox75" reach6'1"
CFR 16

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Packalen

This is a genuine toss-up — Lebout at 42% vs Packalen at 58% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Packalen has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 29 points.

Packalen has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Packalen has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Lebout
Packalen
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'1"
73"
Reach
+75"
38+
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Lebout
Packalen
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
11.8
16.0
28.3
Performance Avg
42.4
25
Quality of Victory
54
40
Momentum Score
29
Lebout
Packalen
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.9
1.4
41%
Strike Accuracy
55%
0.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.5
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
13
Head
13
2
Body
4
4
Leg
0
RangeRange
14Distance17
0Clinch0
5Ground0
Lebout
Packalen
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.7
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
8.0
1.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
5.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Lebout
Packalen
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
96
54
Never stopped
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
3/23 fights
Chin rating based on
4/11 fights
Lebout
Packalen
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
40
29
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
Lebout
Packalen
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
100%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
1
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Lebout
Packalen
Striking0.7 / 0.5Volume8.7 / 0.5Grappling2.4 / 8.0Wrestling1.7 / 5.6Submission0.0 / 10.0Pressure1.0 / 7.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
1.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.8
8.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.5
Lebout
Strike Zones
Packalen
Lebout
Attacking
13HEAD2BODY4LEGS19 landed
Absorbing
13HEAD4BODY0LEGS17 absorbed
Packalen
Attacking
13HEAD4BODY0LEGS17 landed
Absorbing
13HEAD2BODY4LEGS19 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Lebout targets the head (68% of attacks) — Packalen absorbs 68% of strikes there
🎯Packalen targets the head (76% of attacks) — Lebout absorbs 76% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Lebout
RND
Packalen
0/0R00/0

Lebout · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.2
0105.5L4.5W5.5L2015-042015-072015-10
WinLossTrend

Packalen · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.6
0105.5L5.0W1.6L2.3L2015-072016-022017-032019-09
WinLossTrend

Lebout · Last 3

L · Dec · R3
Stevie RayRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holohan vs Smolka · 2015-10
W · Dec · R3
Teemu PackalenRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Leites · 2015-07
L · Dec · R3
Sergio MoraesRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Gonzaga vs Cro Cop 2 · 2015-04

Packalen · Last 4

L · KO · R1
Ottman AzaitarRating 2.3
KO/TKO
UFC 242: Khabib vs. Poirier · 2019-09
L · KO · R1
Marc DiakieseRating 1.6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Manuwa vs. Anderson · 2017-03
W · Sub · R1
Thibault GoutiRating 5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Silva vs Bisping · 2016-02
L · Dec · R3
Mickael LeboutRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Leites · 2015-07

News & Media

Mickael Lebout · Teemu Packalen
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