UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs Hunt
Adelaide, Australia
9 May 2015
Middleweight
VS
40%
Tavares
60%
Whittaker
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 0:44
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Whittaker
Whittaker holds a meaningful edge at 60% per the CFR ratings — but Tavares has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 18 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Whittaker has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 17 points.
Striking split: Whittaker throws more volume but Tavares connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Tavares's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Whittaker has a chin rating of 16 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Tavares
Whittaker
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
6'0"
74"+
Reach
73"
38
Age
+35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Tavares
Whittaker
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
35.6
53.4
40.1
Performance Avg
56.0
29
Quality of Victory
46
49
Momentum Score
71
Tavares
Whittaker
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
1.4
45%
Strike Accuracy
44%
2.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.0
2 KOs
KO Finishes
6 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
9
0
Body
0
2
Leg
1
RangeRange
2Distance7
0Clinch0
0Ground3
Tavares
Whittaker
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.0
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.1
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.6
1.5
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Tavares
Whittaker
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
16
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
6
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.8 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.7 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
5 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
29/34 fights
Chin rating based on
25/36 fights
Tavares
Whittaker
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
49
71
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
Upcoming
L · Dec · R5
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Tavares
Whittaker
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
13%
35%
2
KO / TKO Wins
6
0
Submission Wins
0
14
Decision Wins
11
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Tavares
Whittaker
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.0
2.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.6
1.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
2.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.6
8.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.6
TavaresWhittaker
Strike Zones
Tavares
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedWhittaker
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Tavares targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Whittaker absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Whittaker targets the head (90% of attacks) — Tavares absorbs 90% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Tavares
RND
Whittaker
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Tavares · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Whittaker · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Tavares · Last 5
Upcoming
Marc-Andre BarriaultUFC Fight Night · 2026-07
L · Dec · R3
Eryk AndersRating 6.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos · 2026-03
L · KO · R3
Robert BryczekRating 4.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Borralho · 2025-09
W · Dec · R3
Gerald MeerschaertRating 5.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Murphy · 2025-04
L · Dec · R3
JunYong ParkRating 6.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Taira · 2024-10
Whittaker · Last 5
Upcoming
Nikita KrylovUFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07
L · Dec · R5
Reinier de RidderRating 6.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder · 2025-07
L · Sub · R1
Khamzat ChimaevRating 3.4Submission
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
W · KO · R1
Ikram AliskerovRating 6.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov · 2024-06
W · Dec · R3
Paulo CostaRating 5.5Decision
UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria · 2024-02