METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs Moraga
Seattle, USA
27 Jul 2013
Lightweight
VS
50%
Danzig
50%
Guillard
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 2:47
★ Official Result
Melvin GuillardwinsKO/TKOR2 · 2:47
def. Mac Danzig · UFC on FOX: Johnson vs Moraga
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Danzig
→
Actual result
Guillard wins
KO/TKO · R2
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Danzig at 50% vs Guillard at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Striking split: Guillard throws more volume but Danzig connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Danzig's chin rating of 44 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Guillard has a chin rating of 2 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
DanzigGuillard
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Danzig
Guillard
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+5'9"
70"
Reach
+71"
46
Age
+43
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Danzig
Guillard
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.9
17.7
46.0
Performance Avg
49.7
51
Quality of Victory
45
65
Momentum Score
73
Danzig
Guillard
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.3
1.6
53%
Strike Accuracy
41%
2.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
7.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
7 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
13
1
Body
3
4
Leg
0
RangeRange
10Distance10
0Clinch0
0Ground6
Danzig
Guillard
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
4.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.8
2.9
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Danzig
Guillard
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
44
2
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
2
Sub Losses
6
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/33 fights
Chin rating based on
22/50 fights
Danzig
Guillard
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
65
73
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Upcoming
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Danzig
Guillard
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
60%
58%
1
KO / TKO Wins
7
2
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Danzig
Guillard
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.0
4.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.8
2.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.6
4.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.8
4.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.8
DanzigGuillard
Strike Zones
Danzig
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
16 absorbedGuillard
Attacking
16 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Danzig targets the head (50% of attacks) — Guillard absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Guillard targets the head (81% of attacks) — Danzig absorbs 81% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Danzig
RND
Guillard
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Danzig · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Guillard · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.9WinLossTrend
Danzig · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Joe LauzonRating 5.5Decision
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Benavidez 2 · 2013-12
L · KO · R2
Melvin GuillardRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs Moraga · 2013-07
L · Dec · R3
Takanori GomiRating 5.5Decision
UFC Macao: Franklin vs Le · 2012-11
W · Dec · R3
Efrain EscuderoRating 4.5Decision
UFC 145: Jones vs Evans · 2012-04
L · Dec · R3
Matt WimanRating 5.5Decision
UFC Live: Cruz vs Johnson · 2011-10
Guillard · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Michael JohnsonRating 5.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs Manuwa · 2014-03
Upcoming
Ross PearsonUFC Fight Night: Machida vs Munoz · 2013-10
W · KO · R2
Mac DanzigRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs Moraga · 2013-07
L · Dec · R3
Jamie VarnerRating 5.5Decision
UFC 155: Dos Santos vs Velasquez II · 2012-12
L · KO · R1
Donald CerroneRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 150: Henderson vs Edgar II · 2012-08