METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 224: Nunes vs. Pennington
Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
12 May 2018
Women's Strawweight
VS
82%
Dern
18%
Cooper
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 2:27
★ Official Result
Mackenzie DernwinsSubmissionR1 · 2:27
def. Amanda Cooper · UFC 224: Nunes vs. Pennington
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Dern
→
Actual result
Dern wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Dern is a strong favourite at 82% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 48 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Cooper has a chin rating of 62 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
DernCooper
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Dern
Cooper
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'4"+
Height
5'3"
63"
Reach
+64"
33+
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Dern
Cooper
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
60.4
12.9
52.7
Performance Avg
37.3
41
Quality of Victory
40
94
Momentum Score
20
Dern
Cooper
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.4
/ 10
5.7
/ 10
5.0
Style: Pressure
4.5
6.1
Style: Volume
4.7
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
14
Head
5
1
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
9Distance6
0Clinch0
6Ground0
Dern
Cooper
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.7
/ 10
1.2
/ 10
3.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.8
4.2
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
5
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Dern
Cooper
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
70
62
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
3
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
5 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
17/21 fights
Chin rating based on
6/8 fights
Dern
Cooper
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
94
20
4-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Dern
Cooper
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
42%
50%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
5
Submission Wins
0
7
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Dern
Cooper
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.7
4.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
3.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
4.2
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.5
6.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.7
DernCooper
Strike Zones
Dern
Attacking
15 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedCooper
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
15 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Dern targets the head (93% of attacks) — Cooper absorbs 93% of strikes there
🎯Cooper targets the head (83% of attacks) — Dern absorbs 83% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Dern
RND
Cooper
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Dern · Last 5
W · Dec · R5
Gillian RobertsonDecision
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W · Dec · R5
Virna JandirobaDecision
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W · Sub · R3
Amanda RibasSubmission
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W · Dec · R3
Loopy GodinezDecision
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L · Dec · R3
Amanda LemosDecision
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Cooper · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Ashley YoderDecision
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L · Sub · R1
Mackenzie DernSubmission
UFC 224: Nunes vs. Pennington · 2018-05
W · KO · R2
Angela MaganaKO/TKO
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L · Sub · R1
Cynthia CalvilloSubmission
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W · Dec · R3
Anna ElmoseDecision
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