Olivier Aubin-Mercier vs Arman Tsarukyan — UFC Fight Analysis & Result

METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 240: Holloway vs. Edgar

Edmonton, Canada

27 Jul 2019

Lightweight

22%

Aubin-Mercier

78%

Tsarukyan

Win Probability

Decision

Round 3 · 5:00

Olivier Aubin-Mercier

"The Canadian Gangster"

11 – 5

5'9"70" reachSouthpaw37 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded

CFR 19

Arman Tsarukyan

"Ahalkalakets"

23 – 3

Well-Rounded5-fight win streak29 yrsOrthodox72" reach5'7"

CFR 68

★ Official Result

Arman TsarukyanwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00

def. Olivier Aubin-Mercier · UFC 240: Holloway vs. Edgar

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result

We predicted

Tsarukyan

→

Actual result

Tsarukyan wins

Decision · R3

Pre-fight analysis

Tsarukyan is a strong favourite at 78% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 48 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout

Aubin-MercierTsarukyan

Sig. Strikes

0.0

Strikes / min (SLpM)

0.0

—

Strike Accuracy

—

Aubin-Mercier

Tsarukyan

Physical Matchup

Height · Reach · Age · Stance

5'9"+

Height

5'7"

70"

Reach

+72"

Age

+29

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

Aubin-Mercier

Tsarukyan

Composite Fighter Rating

Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability

19.4

67.5

49.0

Performance Avg

58.4

Quality of Victory

Momentum Score

100

Aubin-Mercier

Tsarukyan

Striking

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

2.6

/ 10

5.7

/ 10

6.8

Style: Pressure

6.0

3.5

Style: Volume

5.7

1 KO wins

Finish Rate (strikes)

4 KO wins

Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Strike targetStrike target

Head

Body

Leg

RangeRange

2Distance4

0Clinch2

5Ground15

Aubin-Mercier

Tsarukyan

Grappling

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

5.3

/ 10

2.0

/ 10

3.7

Wrestling Style (/10)

1.4

5.7

Submission Style (/10)

1.0

Submission wins

Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Aubin-Mercier

Tsarukyan

Durability / Chin

Resilience against knockouts and stoppages

Never stopped

Verdict

Never stopped

KO/TKO Losses

Sub Losses

—

Strikes absorbed / min

—

12/16 fights

Chin rating based on

13/26 fights

Aubin-Mercier

Tsarukyan

Form & Momentum

Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%

100

3-fight 📉 slide

Current form

5-fight 🔥 win streak

L · Dec · R3

W · KO · R1

W · Dec · R3

Last 5

Upcoming

W · Sub · R2

W · Dec · R3

W · KO · R1

W · KO · R3

Aubin-Mercier

Tsarukyan

Finish Rate

Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission

71%

50%

KO / TKO Wins

Submission Wins

Decision Wins

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Aubin-Mercier

Tsarukyan

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

2.6

Striking

KO power & stand-up volume

5.7

5.3

Grappling

Ground control & clinch

2.0

3.7

Wrestling

Takedown threat & defence

1.4

5.7

Submission

Submission attack frequency

1.0

6.8

Pressure

Clinch/ground work rate

6.0

3.5

Volume

Decision-pace fighting

5.7

Aubin-Mercier

Strike Zones

Tsarukyan

Aubin-Mercier

Attacking

7 landed

Absorbing

21 absorbed

Tsarukyan

Attacking

21 landed

Absorbing

7 absorbed

Targeting Overlap

🎯Aubin-Mercier targets the head (71% of attacks) — Tsarukyan absorbs 71% of strikes there

🎯Tsarukyan targets the head (81% of attacks) — Aubin-Mercier absorbs 81% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Aubin-Mercier

RND

Tsarukyan

0/0R00/0

Aubin-Mercier · Last 5

L · Dec · R3

Arman Tsarukyan

Decision

UFC 240: Holloway vs. Edgar · 2019-07

L · Dec · R3

Gilbert Burns

Decision

UFC 231: Holloway vs. Ortega · 2018-12

L · Dec · R3

Alexander Hernandez

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Alvarez vs. Poirier 2 · 2018-07

W · KO · R1

Evan Dunham

KO/TKO

UFC 223: Khabib vs. Iaquinta · 2018-04

W · Dec · R3

Anthony Rocco Martin

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs. Branch · 2017-09

Tsarukyan · Last 5

Upcoming

Mauricio Ruffy

UFC 331: Van vs. Pantoja 2 · 2026-09

W · Sub · R2

Dan Hooker

Submission

UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker · 2025-11

W · Dec · R3

Charles Oliveira

Decision

UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04

W · KO · R1

Beneil Dariush

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan · 2023-12

W · KO · R3

Joaquim Silva

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier · 2023-06

News & Media

Olivier Aubin-Mercier · Arman Tsarukyan

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