UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill
Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
21 Jan 2023
Welterweight
VS
73%
Bonfim
27%
Lazzez
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 0:49
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Bonfim
Bonfim is a strong favourite at 73% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 43 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Bonfim has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 20 points.
Lazzez has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Lazzez has a chin rating of 66 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Bonfim
Lazzez
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
6'1"
72"
Reach
+76"
28+
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Bonfim
Lazzez
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
69.3
26.1
61.5
Performance Avg
35.0
45
Quality of Victory
25
100
Momentum Score
39
Bonfim
Lazzez
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
2.6
47%
Strike Accuracy
59%
3.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
0
2
Body
4
1
Leg
5
RangeRange
9Distance9
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Bonfim
Lazzez
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
4.8
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
3.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
5.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
3
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Bonfim
Lazzez
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
78
66
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
5 fights ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/20 fights
Chin rating based on
4/14 fights
Bonfim
Lazzez
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
39
4-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
Upcoming
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Bonfim
Lazzez
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
3
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Bonfim
Lazzez
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
4.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
3.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.5
4.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
9.0
BonfimLazzez
Strike Zones
Bonfim
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedLazzez
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Bonfim targets the head (67% of attacks) — Lazzez absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Lazzez targets the legs (56% of attacks) — Bonfim absorbs 56% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Bonfim
RND
Lazzez
0/0R00/0
Bonfim · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Lazzez · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.8WinLossTrend
Bonfim · Last 5
Upcoming
Belal MuhammadUFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim · 2026-06
W · KO · R2
Randy BrownRating 6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown · 2025-11
W · Dec · R3
Stephen ThompsonRating 5.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira · 2025-07
W · Sub · R2
Khaos WilliamsRating 6.7Submission
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues · 2025-02
W · Dec · R3
Ange LoosaRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez · 2024-07
Lazzez · Last 4
L · Sub · R1
Gabriel BonfimRating 3.2Submission
UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill · 2023-01
W · Dec · R3
Ange LoosaRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Muhammad · 2022-04
L · KO · R1
Warlley AlvesRating 1.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Magny · 2021-01
W · Dec · R3
Abdul Razak AlhassanRating 6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Ige · 2020-07