METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erceg
Mexico City, Mexico
29 Mar 2025
Women's Strawweight
VS
43%
Godinez
57%
Polastri
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Loopy GodinezwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Julia Polastri · UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erceg
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Polastri
→
Actual result
Godinez wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Godinez at 43% vs Polastri at 57% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 14 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Polastri has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 14 points.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
GodinezPolastri
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Godinez
Polastri
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'2"
Height
5'2"
61"
Reach
+63"
33
Age
+28
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Godinez
Polastri
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
44.1
58.5
42.6
Performance Avg
47.0
31
Quality of Victory
45
49
Momentum Score
80
Godinez
Polastri
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.2
/ 10
7.7
/ 10
3.4
Style: Pressure
6.2
7.4
Style: Volume
3.7
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
51
Head
47
6
Body
6
1
Leg
5
RangeRange
51Distance54
7Clinch4
0Ground0
Godinez
Polastri
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.6
/ 10
0.8
/ 10
2.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.6
2.2
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Godinez
Polastri
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
78
94
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/20 fights
Chin rating based on
6/20 fights
Godinez
Polastri
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
49
80
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Godinez
Polastri
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
22%
67%
0
KO / TKO Wins
2
2
Submission Wins
0
7
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Godinez
Polastri
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.7
3.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.8
2.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.6
2.2
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.2
7.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.7
GodinezPolastri
Strike Zones
Godinez
Attacking
58 landedAbsorbing
58 absorbedPolastri
Attacking
58 landedAbsorbing
58 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Godinez targets the head (88% of attacks) — Polastri absorbs 88% of strikes there
🎯Polastri targets the head (81% of attacks) — Godinez absorbs 81% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Godinez
RND
Polastri
0/0R00/0
Godinez · Last 5
L · Sub · R2
Tatiana SuarezSubmission
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · 2026-04
W · Dec · R3
Jessica AndradeDecision
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08
W · Dec · R3
Julia PolastriDecision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erceg · 2025-03
L · Dec · R3
Mackenzie DernDecision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov · 2024-08
L · Dec · R3
Virna JandirobaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot · 2024-03
Polastri · Last 5
W · KO · R1
Xiong JingnanKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song · 2026-08
L · Dec · R3
Talita AlencarDecision
UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal · 2026-04
W · KO · R3
Karolina KowalkiewiczKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot · 2025-10
L · Dec · R3
Loopy GodinezDecision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erceg · 2025-03
W · Dec · R3
Cory McKennaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Taira · 2024-10