UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erceg
Mexico City, Mexico
29 Mar 2025
Women's Strawweight
VS
48%
Godinez
52%
Polastri
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Loopy
Loopy Godinez
14 – 6
5'2"61" reachOrthodox32 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 44
Julia
Julia Polastri
"Psycho"
14 – 6
Well-Rounded28 yrsOrthodox63" reach5'2"
CFR 48

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Polastri

This is a genuine toss-up — Godinez at 48% vs Polastri at 52% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Polastri has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Godinez
Polastri
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'2"
Height
5'2"
61"
Reach
+63"
32
Age
+28
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Godinez
Polastri
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
44.2
47.7
42.7
Performance Avg
38.5
31
Quality of Victory
38
49
Momentum Score
59
Godinez
Polastri
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.8
2.4
49%
Strike Accuracy
59%
1.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.8
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
51
Head
47
6
Body
6
1
Leg
5
RangeRange
51Distance54
7Clinch4
0Ground0
Godinez
Polastri
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
3.6
/ 10
1.2
/ 10
2.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.8
2.2
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Godinez
Polastri
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
78
94
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/20 fights
Chin rating based on
5/20 fights
Godinez
Polastri
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
49
59
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Godinez
Polastri
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
22%
50%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
2
Submission Wins
0
7
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Godinez
Polastri
Striking1.2 / 5.8Volume7.4 / 4.8Grappling3.6 / 1.2Wrestling2.5 / 0.8Submission2.2 / 0.0Pressure3.4 / 4.7
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.8
3.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
2.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
2.2
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.7
7.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.8
Godinez
Strike Zones
Polastri
Godinez
Attacking
51HEAD6BODY1LEGS58 landed
Absorbing
47HEAD6BODY5LEGS58 absorbed
Polastri
Attacking
47HEAD6BODY5LEGS58 landed
Absorbing
51HEAD6BODY1LEGS58 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Godinez targets the head (88% of attacks) — Polastri absorbs 88% of strikes there
🎯Polastri targets the head (81% of attacks) — Godinez absorbs 81% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Godinez
RND
Polastri
0/0R00/0

Godinez · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0105.6L5.0W6.1L5.4W5.5W5.6L4.5W4.5W5.2W5.2W6.2L6.7L5.1W5.3W4.6L2021-042022-052023-092025-032026-04
WinLossTrend

Polastri · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.8
0106.0L5.0W6.0L5.5W6.7L2024-062024-102025-032025-102026-04
WinLossTrend

Godinez · Last 5

L · Sub · R2
Tatiana SuarezRating 4.6
Submission
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · 2026-04
W · Dec · R3
Jessica AndradeRating 5.3
Decision
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08
W · Dec · R3
Julia PolastriRating 5.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erceg · 2025-03
L · Dec · R3
Mackenzie DernRating 6.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov · 2024-08
L · Dec · R3
Virna JandirobaRating 6.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot · 2024-03

Polastri · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Talita AlencarRating 6.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal · 2026-04
W · KO · R3
Karolina KowalkiewiczRating 5.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot · 2025-10
L · Dec · R3
Loopy GodinezRating 6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erceg · 2025-03
W · Dec · R3
Cory McKennaRating 5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Taira · 2024-10
L · Dec · R3
Josefine KnutssonRating 6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Perez vs. Taira · 2024-06

News & Media

Loopy Godinez · Julia Polastri
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