UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Volkov
Las Vegas, USA
20 Jun 2020
Lightweight
VS
41%
Camacho
59%
Jaynes
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 0:41
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Jaynes
This is a genuine toss-up — Camacho at 41% vs Jaynes at 59% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Jaynes has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 20 points.
Camacho has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Camacho's chin rating of 18 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Jaynes has a chin rating of 62 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Camacho
Jaynes
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"+
Height
5'7"
73"+
Reach
68"
37
Age
+36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Camacho
Jaynes
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.5
27.5
34.0
Performance Avg
44.0
40
Quality of Victory
60
39
Momentum Score
39
Camacho
Jaynes
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
3.6
1.6
48%
Strike Accuracy
47%
5.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
14
0
Body
2
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
4Distance10
0Clinch4
0Ground2
Camacho
Jaynes
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.8
1.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Camacho
Jaynes
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
18
62
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
3
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/32 fights
Chin rating based on
5/24 fights
Camacho
Jaynes
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
39
39
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · R2
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R3
W · KO · R1
Camacho
Jaynes
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
100%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Camacho
Jaynes
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.6
4.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.4
CamachoJaynes
Strike Zones
Camacho
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
16 absorbedJaynes
Attacking
16 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Camacho targets the head (100% of attacks) — Jaynes absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Jaynes targets the head (88% of attacks) — Camacho absorbs 88% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Camacho
RND
Jaynes
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Camacho · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Jaynes · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.2WinLossTrend
Camacho · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Manuel TorresRating 3.6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Rakic · 2022-05
L · KO · R1
Justin JaynesRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Volkov · 2020-06
L · Sub · R1
Beneil DariushRating 2.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Askren · 2019-10
W · KO · R2
Nick HeinRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs. Smith · 2019-06
L · KO · R2
Geoff NealRating 3.8KO/TKO
UFC 228: Woodley vs. Till · 2018-09
Jaynes · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Charles RosaRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Volkov · 2021-06
L · R2
Devonte SmithRating 4.8UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Volkov · 2021-02
L · KO · R1
Gabriel BenitezRating 1.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Vettori · 2020-12
L · Sub · R3
Gavin TuckerRating 4Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Oleinik · 2020-08
W · KO · R1
Frank CamachoRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Volkov · 2020-06