METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
★ Championship Bout · Middleweight
UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland
Sydney, Australia
9 Sept 2023
Middleweight
VS
52%
Adesanya
48%
Strickland
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Sean StricklandwinsDecisionR5 · 5:00
def. Israel Adesanya · UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Adesanya
→
Actual result
Strickland wins
Decision · R5
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Adesanya at 52% vs Strickland at 48% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Adesanya has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 19 points.
Risk flags
Adesanya's chin rating of 18 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Strickland has a chin rating of 46 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
AdesanyaStrickland
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Adesanya
Strickland
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"+
Height
6'1"
80"+
Reach
76"
37
Age
+35
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Adesanya
Strickland
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
63.4
57.7
61.2
Performance Avg
50.9
56
Quality of Victory
37
100
Momentum Score
100
Adesanya
Strickland
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.2
/ 10
4.2
/ 10
4.7
Style: Pressure
4.5
6.3
Style: Volume
6.8
5 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
5 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
18
11
Body
16
6
Leg
2
RangeRange
21Distance36
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Adesanya
Strickland
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.5
/ 10
2.0
/ 10
1.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.4
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.6
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Adesanya
Strickland
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
18
46
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
9 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/30 fights
Chin rating based on
25/38 fights
Adesanya
Strickland
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
100
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R4
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R2
Last 5
W · Dec · R5
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R5
Adesanya
Strickland
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
39%
33%
5
KO / TKO Wins
5
0
Submission Wins
1
8
Decision Wins
12
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Adesanya
Strickland
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.2
1.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.0
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.4
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.6
4.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.5
6.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.8
AdesanyaStrickland
Strike Zones
Adesanya
Attacking
21 landedAbsorbing
36 absorbedStrickland
Attacking
36 landedAbsorbing
21 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Adesanya targets the body (52% of attacks) — Strickland absorbs 52% of strikes there
🎯Strickland targets the head (50% of attacks) — Adesanya absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Adesanya
RND
Strickland
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Adesanya · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Joe PyferKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer · 2026-03
L · KO · R2
Nassourdine ImavovKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov · 2025-02
L · Sub · R4
Dricus Du PlessisSubmission
UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya · 2024-08
L · Dec · R5
Sean StricklandDecision
UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland · 2023-09
W · KO · R2
Alex PereiraKO/TKO
UFC 287: Pereira vs. Adesanya 2 · 2023-04
Strickland · Last 5
W · Dec · R5
Khamzat ChimaevDecision
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05
W · KO · R3
Anthony HernandezKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez · 2026-02
L · Dec · R5
Dricus Du PlessisDecision
UFC 312: Du Plessis vs. Strickland 2 · 2025-02
W · Dec · R5
Paulo CostaDecision
UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier · 2024-06
L · Dec · R5
Dricus Du PlessisDecision
UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Plessis · 2024-01