★ Championship Bout · Middleweight
UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland
Sydney, Australia
9 Sept 2023
Middleweight
VS
52%
Adesanya
48%
Strickland
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
Israel
Israel Adesanya
"The Last Stylebender"
24 – 6
6'4"80" reachSwitch36 yrs4-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 63
Sean
Sean Strickland
31 – 7
Well-Rounded2-fight win streak35 yrsOrthodox76" reach6'1"
CFR 58

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Adesanya

This is a genuine toss-up — Adesanya at 52% vs Strickland at 48% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Adesanya has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 19 points.

Striking split: Strickland throws more volume but Adesanya connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Adesanya's chin rating of 18 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Strickland has a chin rating of 46 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Adesanya
Strickland
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"+
Height
6'1"
80"+
Reach
76"
36
Age
+35
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Adesanya
Strickland
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
63.4
57.7
61.2
Performance Avg
50.9
56
Quality of Victory
37
100
Momentum Score
100
Adesanya
Strickland
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
2.1
52%
Strike Accuracy
45%
5.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.2
5 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
18
11
Body
16
6
Leg
2
RangeRange
21Distance36
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Adesanya
Strickland
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.5
/ 10
2.0
/ 10
1.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.4
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.6
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Adesanya
Strickland
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
18
46
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
9 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/30 fights
Chin rating based on
25/38 fights
Adesanya
Strickland
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
100
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R4
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R2
Last 5
W · Dec · R5
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R5
Adesanya
Strickland
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
39%
33%
5
KO / TKO Wins
5
0
Submission Wins
1
8
Decision Wins
12

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Adesanya
Strickland
Striking5.2 / 4.2Volume6.3 / 6.8Grappling1.5 / 2.0Wrestling1.0 / 1.4Submission0.0 / 0.6Pressure4.7 / 4.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.2
1.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.0
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.4
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.6
4.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.5
6.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.8
Adesanya
Strike Zones
Strickland
Adesanya
Attacking
4HEAD11BODY6LEGS21 landed
Absorbing
18HEAD16BODY2LEGS36 absorbed
Strickland
Attacking
18HEAD16BODY2LEGS36 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD11BODY6LEGS21 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Adesanya targets the body (52% of attacks) — Strickland absorbs 52% of strikes there
🎯Strickland targets the head (50% of attacks) — Adesanya absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Adesanya
RND
Strickland
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Adesanya · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0105.2W5.3W4.5W5.3W4.5W4.8W6.0W4.5W6.1W6.1L5.3W5.4W5.5W6.1L7.2W6.6L5.3L3.6L4.2L2018-022019-042021-062023-092026-03
WinLossTrend

Strickland · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0105.0W4.5W6.0L4.5W5.5W4.5W6.6L4.7W2.0L5.2W4.5W6.6W4.5W4.5W5.4W3.6L6.5L5.9W5.9W5.9W7.4L5.5W7.4L6.7W6.4W2014-032017-112022-022024-062026-05
WinLossTrend

Adesanya · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Joe PyferRating 4.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer · 2026-03
L · KO · R2
Nassourdine ImavovRating 3.6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov · 2025-02
L · Sub · R4
Dricus Du PlessisRating 5.3
Submission
UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya · 2024-08
L · Dec · R5
Sean StricklandRating 6.6
Decision
UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland · 2023-09
W · KO · R2
Alex PereiraRating 7.2
KO/TKO
UFC 287: Pereira vs. Adesanya 2 · 2023-04

Strickland · Last 5

W · Dec · R5
Khamzat ChimaevRating 6.4
Decision
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05
W · KO · R3
Anthony HernandezRating 6.7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez · 2026-02
L · Dec · R5
Dricus Du PlessisRating 7.4
Decision
UFC 312: Du Plessis vs. Strickland 2 · 2025-02
W · Dec · R5
Paulo CostaRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier · 2024-06
L · Dec · R5
Dricus Du PlessisRating 7.4
Decision
UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Plessis · 2024-01

News & Media

Israel Adesanya · Sean Strickland
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