UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira
Nashville, USA
12 Jul 2025
Lightweight
VS
7%
Ramirez
93%
Davis
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 4:08
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Davis
Davis is a strong favourite at 93% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 53 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Davis has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 41 points.
Striking split: Ramirez throws more volume but Davis connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Ramirez's chin rating of 56 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Ramirez
Davis
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'0"
71"
Reach
+72"
33
Age
33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Ramirez
Davis
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
4.5
57.4
0.0
Performance Avg
53.1
0
Quality of Victory
41
0
Momentum Score
65
Ramirez
Davis
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.1
1.6
46%
Strike Accuracy
56%
0.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.4
0 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
23
Head
27
8
Body
15
12
Leg
2
RangeRange
40Distance41
3Clinch0
0Ground3
Ramirez
Davis
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
0.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.6
0.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Ramirez
Davis
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
56
86
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.5 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
2/11 fights
Chin rating based on
7/15 fights
Ramirez
Davis
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
65
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R3
Last 5
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Ramirez
Davis
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
60%
0
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
1
0
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Ramirez
Davis
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.4
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.6
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.0
0.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.3
0.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.6
RamirezDavis
Strike Zones
Ramirez
Attacking
43 landedAbsorbing
44 absorbedDavis
Attacking
44 landedAbsorbing
43 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Ramirez targets the head (53% of attacks) — Davis absorbs 53% of strikes there
🎯Davis targets the head (61% of attacks) — Ramirez absorbs 61% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Ramirez
RND
Davis
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Ramirez · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.0WinLossTrend
Davis · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Ramirez · Last 2
L · KO · R2
Mike DavisRating 3.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira · 2025-07
L · KO · R3
Thiago MoisesRating 4.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura · 2024-03
Davis · Last 5
W · KO · R2
Mitch RamirezRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira · 2025-07
L · Dec · R3
Fares ZiamRating 6.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov · 2025-02
W · Sub · R2
Natan LevyRating 5.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura · 2024-03
W · Dec · R3
Viacheslav BorshchevRating 5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan · 2022-10
W · Dec · R3
Mason JonesRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Magny · 2021-01