UFC 114: Rampage vs Evans
Las Vegas, USA
29 May 2010
Welterweight
VS
42%
Sanchez
58%
Hathaway
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Hathaway
This is a genuine toss-up — Sanchez at 42% vs Hathaway at 58% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Hathaway has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Sanchez's chin rating of 14 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Sanchez
Hathaway
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+6'1"
72"
Reach
+75"
44
Age
+38
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Sanchez
Hathaway
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
12.7
17.2
46.0
Performance Avg
49.1
37
Quality of Victory
30
20
Momentum Score
60
Sanchez
Hathaway
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
1.2
39%
Strike Accuracy
41%
4.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.0
6 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
27
0
Body
1
0
Leg
4
RangeRange
12Distance31
0Clinch1
0Ground0
Sanchez
Hathaway
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.0
Sub Attempts / fight
—
1.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.1
1.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.4
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Sanchez
Hathaway
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
14
76
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
3
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
5 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
32/44 fights
Chin rating based on
9/19 fights
Sanchez
Hathaway
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
20
60
L · Dec · R3
W · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Sanchez
Hathaway
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
32%
14%
6
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
13
Decision Wins
6
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Sanchez
Hathaway
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.0
1.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.1
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.4
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.3
6.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.4
SanchezHathaway
Strike Zones
Sanchez
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
32 absorbedHathaway
Attacking
32 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Sanchez targets the head (100% of attacks) — Hathaway absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Hathaway targets the head (84% of attacks) — Sanchez absorbs 84% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Sanchez
RND
Hathaway
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Sanchez · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Hathaway · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Sanchez · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Jake MatthewsRating 6.5Decision
UFC 253: Adesanya vs. Costa · 2020-09
W · R3
Michel PereiraRating 5.1UFC Fight Night: Anderson vs. Blachowicz · 2020-02
L · Dec · R3
Michael ChiesaRating 6.3Decision
UFC 239: Jones vs. Santos · 2019-07
W · KO · R2
Mickey GallRating 5.8KO/TKO
UFC 235: Jones vs. Smith · 2019-03
W · Dec · R3
Craig WhiteRating 4.5Decision
UFC 228: Woodley vs. Till · 2018-09
Hathaway · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Dong Hyun KimRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Kim vs Hathaway · 2014-03
W · Dec · R3
John MaguireRating 4.5Decision
UFC on FUEL TV: Struve vs Miocic · 2012-09
W · Dec · R3
Pascal KraussRating 4.5Decision
UFC on FOX: Diaz vs Miller · 2012-05
W · Dec · R3
Kris McCrayRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Nogueira vs Davis · 2011-03
L · Dec · R3
Mike PyleRating 5.5Decision
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