METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 201: Lawler vs. Woodley
Atlanta, USA
30 Jul 2016
Women's Strawweight
VS
66%
Namajunas
34%
Kowalkiewicz
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Karolina KowalkiewiczwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Rose Namajunas · UFC 201: Lawler vs. Woodley
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Namajunas
→
Actual result
Kowalkiewicz wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Namajunas holds a meaningful edge at 66% per the CFR ratings — but Kowalkiewicz has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 30 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Namajunas has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 21 points.
Risk flags
Namajunas's chin rating of 56 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Kowalkiewicz has a chin rating of 20 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
NamajunasKowalkiewicz
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Namajunas
Kowalkiewicz
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"+
Height
5'3"
65"+
Reach
64"
34+
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Namajunas
Kowalkiewicz
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
62.4
32.7
54.8
Performance Avg
35.6
49
Quality of Victory
28
100
Momentum Score
40
Namajunas
Kowalkiewicz
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.9
/ 10
0.9
/ 10
4.8
Style: Pressure
2.2
5.9
Style: Volume
8.1
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
16
Head
15
1
Body
8
2
Leg
2
RangeRange
13Distance9
3Clinch9
3Ground7
Namajunas
Kowalkiewicz
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.4
/ 10
3.0
/ 10
2.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.1
2.5
Submission Style (/10)
1.1
3
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Namajunas
Kowalkiewicz
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
56
20
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
2
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
10 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/23 fights
Chin rating based on
19/26 fights
Namajunas
Kowalkiewicz
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
40
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Namajunas
Kowalkiewicz
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
42%
11%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
3
Submission Wins
1
7
Decision Wins
8
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Namajunas
Kowalkiewicz
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.9
3.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.0
2.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.1
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.1
4.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.2
5.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.1
NamajunasKowalkiewicz
Strike Zones
Namajunas
Attacking
19 landedAbsorbing
25 absorbedKowalkiewicz
Attacking
25 landedAbsorbing
19 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Namajunas targets the head (84% of attacks) — Kowalkiewicz absorbs 84% of strikes there
🎯Kowalkiewicz targets the head (60% of attacks) — Namajunas absorbs 60% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Namajunas
RND
Kowalkiewicz
0/0R00/0
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