The Ultimate Fighter: Redemption Finale
Las Vegas, USA
7 Jul 2017
Light Heavyweight
VS
73%
Herman
27%
Dollaway
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
EH
Ed Herman
"Short Fuse"
27 – 16
6'1"77" reachOrthodox45 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 39
CD
CB Dollaway
"The Doberman"
17 – 9
Well-Rounded42 yrsOrthodox76" reach6'2"
CFR 14

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Herman

Herman is a strong favourite at 73% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 24 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Striking split: Herman throws more volume but Dollaway connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Herman's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Dollaway has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Herman
Dollaway
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'2"
77"+
Reach
76"
45
Age
+42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Herman
Dollaway
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
38.7
14.3
47.4
Performance Avg
44.3
44
Quality of Victory
37
82
Momentum Score
51
Herman
Dollaway
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
0.9
47%
Strike Accuracy
49%
4.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.9
4 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
18
0
Body
2
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance1
0Clinch0
0Ground19
Herman
Dollaway
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
0.4
3.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.8
2.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.9
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Herman
Dollaway
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
0
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
4
KO/TKO Losses
5
2
Sub Losses
2
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.6 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
26/43 fights
Chin rating based on
20/26 fights
Herman
Dollaway
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
82
51
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R2
W · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Herman
Dollaway
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
69%
36%
4
KO / TKO Wins
2
5
Submission Wins
2
4
Decision Wins
7

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Herman
Dollaway
Striking4.1 / 2.9Volume3.5 / 5.5Grappling3.8 / 2.8Wrestling2.7 / 1.9Submission3.9 / 1.8Pressure6.4 / 4.2
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.9
3.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.8
2.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.9
3.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.8
6.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.2
3.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.5
Herman
Strike Zones
Dollaway
Herman
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 landed
Absorbing
18HEAD2BODY0LEGS20 absorbed
Dollaway
Attacking
18HEAD2BODY0LEGS20 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Dollaway targets the head (90% of attacks) — Herman absorbs 90% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Herman
RND
Dollaway
0/0R00/0

Herman · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0105.5L1.5L5.0W5.2W5.5W2.8L5.5L4.5W2.8L5.0W5.0W5.2W4.5W5.5L4.5W1.8L5.2W4.0L5.5L5.5L5.0W4.5W5.5W6.4L4.4L2006-062009-042014-052019-112023-04
WinLossTrend

Dollaway · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.8
0101.5L5.0W5.0W1.5L4.5W4.5W5.0W1.5L2.8L4.5W4.5W5.5L5.0W4.5W1.5L5.5L2.8L4.7W4.0W2.8L2008-062010-022013-012015-042018-09
WinLossTrend

Herman · Last 5

L · KO · R3
Zak CummingsRating 4.4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen · 2023-04
L · Dec · R3
Alonzo MenifieldRating 6.4
Decision
UFC 265: Lewis vs. Gane · 2021-08
W · Sub · R3
Mike RodriguezRating 5.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Waterson vs. Hill · 2020-09
W · Dec · R3
Khadis IbragimovRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Zabit vs. Kattar · 2019-11
W · KO · R1
Patrick CumminsRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Lee · 2019-05

Dollaway · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Khalid MurtazalievRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs. Oleinik · 2018-09
W · R1
Hector LombardRating 4
UFC 222: Cyborg vs. Kunitskaya · 2018-03
W · Dec · R3
Ed HermanRating 4.7
Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Redemption Finale · 2017-07
L · KO · R2
Nate MarquardtRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Dos Anjos vs. Cowboy 2 · 2015-12
L · Dec · R3
Michael BispingRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 186: Johnson vs Horiguchi · 2015-04

News & Media

Ed Herman · CB Dollaway
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