METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
The Ultimate Fighter: Redemption Finale
Las Vegas, USA
7 Jul 2017
Light Heavyweight
VS
73%
Herman
27%
Dollaway
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
CB DollawaywinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Ed Herman · The Ultimate Fighter: Redemption Finale
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Herman
→
Actual result
Dollaway wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Herman is a strong favourite at 73% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 24 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Herman throws more volume but Dollaway connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Herman's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Dollaway has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
HermanDollaway
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Herman
Dollaway
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'2"
77"+
Reach
76"
45
Age
+42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Herman
Dollaway
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
38.7
14.3
47.4
Performance Avg
44.3
44
Quality of Victory
37
82
Momentum Score
51
Herman
Dollaway
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.0
0.9
47%
Strike Accuracy
49%
4.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.9
4 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
18
0
Body
2
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance1
0Clinch0
0Ground19
Herman
Dollaway
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
0.4
3.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.8
2.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.9
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Herman
Dollaway
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
0
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
4
KO/TKO Losses
5
2
Sub Losses
2
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.6 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
26/43 fights
Chin rating based on
20/26 fights
Herman
Dollaway
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
82
51
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R2
W · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Herman
Dollaway
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
69%
36%
4
KO / TKO Wins
2
5
Submission Wins
2
4
Decision Wins
7
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Herman
Dollaway
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.9
3.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.8
2.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.9
3.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.8
6.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.2
3.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.5
HermanDollaway
Strike Zones
Herman
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
20 absorbedDollaway
Attacking
20 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Dollaway targets the head (90% of attacks) — Herman absorbs 90% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Herman
RND
Dollaway
0/0R00/0
Herman · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Dollaway · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.8WinLossTrend
Herman · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Zak CummingsRating 4.4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen · 2023-04
L · Dec · R3
Alonzo MenifieldRating 6.4Decision
UFC 265: Lewis vs. Gane · 2021-08
W · Sub · R3
Mike RodriguezRating 5.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Waterson vs. Hill · 2020-09
W · Dec · R3
Khadis IbragimovRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Zabit vs. Kattar · 2019-11
W · KO · R1
Patrick CumminsRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Lee · 2019-05
Dollaway · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Khalid MurtazalievRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs. Oleinik · 2018-09
W · R1
Hector LombardRating 4UFC 222: Cyborg vs. Kunitskaya · 2018-03
W · Dec · R3
Ed HermanRating 4.7Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Redemption Finale · 2017-07
L · KO · R2
Nate MarquardtRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Dos Anjos vs. Cowboy 2 · 2015-12
L · Dec · R3
Michael BispingRating 5.5Decision
UFC 186: Johnson vs Horiguchi · 2015-04