The Ultimate Fighter: Team Hughes vs. Team Serra Finale
Las Vegas, USA
8 Dec 2007
Welterweight
VS
85%
Saunders
15%
Barrera
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Saunders
Saunders is a strong favourite at 85% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 13 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Saunders has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 46 points.
Risk flags
Saunders's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Saunders
Barrera
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
5'9"
77"
Reach
43+
Age
45
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Saunders
Barrera
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.6
2.7
46.4
Performance Avg
0.0
46
Quality of Victory
0
50
Momentum Score
0
Saunders
Barrera
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.5
—
55%
Strike Accuracy
0%
4.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
3 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
0
6
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance0
0Clinch0
4Ground0
Saunders
Barrera
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
1.0
3.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
2.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Saunders
Barrera
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
98
3 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
7
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.9 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/35 fights
Chin rating based on
1/4 fights
Saunders
Barrera
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
50
0
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Saunders
Barrera
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
0%
3
KO / TKO Wins
0
3
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Saunders
Barrera
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
3.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
2.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
3.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
SaundersBarrera
Strike Zones
Saunders
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedBarrera
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Saunders targets the body (100% of attacks) — Barrera absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Saunders
RND
Barrera
0/0R00/0
Saunders · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.0WinLossTrend
Saunders · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Matt BrownRating 3.1KO/TKO
UFC 245: Usman vs. Covington · 2019-12
L · KO · R2
Takashi SatoRating 2.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Hermansson · 2019-04
L · KO · R1
Lyman GoodRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 230: Cormier vs. Lewis · 2018-11
L · Sub · R2
Sergio MoraesRating 2.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Marreta vs. Anders · 2018-09
W · KO · R1
Jake EllenbergerRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rivera vs. Moraes · 2018-06
Barrera · Last 1
L · Dec · R3
Ben SaundersRating 5.5Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Hughes vs. Team Serra Finale · 2007-12