METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 207: Nunes vs. Rousey
Las Vegas, USA
30 Dec 2016
Bantamweight
VS
63%
Dillashaw
37%
Lineker
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
TJ DillashawwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. John Lineker · UFC 207: Nunes vs. Rousey
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Dillashaw
→
Actual result
Dillashaw wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Dillashaw holds a meaningful edge at 63% per the CFR ratings — but Lineker has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 15 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Dillashaw has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.
Risk flags
Dillashaw's chin rating of 30 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
DillashawLineker
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Dillashaw
Lineker
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"+
Height
5'3"
67"
Reach
67"
40
Age
+36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Dillashaw
Lineker
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
36.6
21.8
62.3
Performance Avg
56.0
56
Quality of Victory
43
100
Momentum Score
83
Dillashaw
Lineker
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
6.8
/ 10
6.5
/ 10
6.5
Style: Pressure
6.3
4.5
Style: Volume
4.8
7 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
6 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
14
Head
6
2
Body
11
5
Leg
0
RangeRange
10Distance17
0Clinch0
11Ground0
Dillashaw
Lineker
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.5
/ 10
1.7
/ 10
1.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.2
0.8
Submission Style (/10)
0.8
1
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Dillashaw
Lineker
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
30
82
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
3
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/23 fights
Chin rating based on
16/40 fights
Dillashaw
Lineker
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
83
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R5
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R5
Dillashaw
Lineker
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
62%
58%
7
KO / TKO Wins
6
1
Submission Wins
1
5
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Dillashaw
Lineker
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.5
1.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.7
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.2
0.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.8
6.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.3
4.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.8
DillashawLineker
Strike Zones
Dillashaw
Attacking
21 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedLineker
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
21 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Dillashaw targets the head (67% of attacks) — Lineker absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Lineker targets the body (65% of attacks) — Dillashaw absorbs 65% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Dillashaw
RND
Lineker
0/0R00/0
Dillashaw · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Aljamain SterlingKO/TKO
UFC 280: Oliveira vs. Makhachev · 2022-10
W · Dec · R5
Cory SandhagenDecision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Dillashaw · 2021-07
L · KO · R1
Henry CejudoKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Dillashaw · 2019-01
W · KO · R1
Cody GarbrandtKO/TKO
UFC 227: Dillashaw vs. Garbrandt 2 · 2018-08
W · KO · R2
Cody GarbrandtKO/TKO
UFC 217: Bisping vs. St-Pierre · 2017-11
Lineker · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Cory SandhagenDecision
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Hermansson · 2019-04
W · KO · R3
Brian KelleherKO/TKO
UFC 224: Nunes vs. Pennington · 2018-05
W · Dec · R3
Marlon VeraDecision
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Machida · 2017-10
L · Dec · R3
TJ DillashawDecision
UFC 207: Nunes vs. Rousey · 2016-12
W · Dec · R5
John DodsonDecision
UFC Fight Night: Lineker vs. Dodson · 2016-10