UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Garbrandt
Las Vegas, USA
22 May 2021
Middleweight
VS
46%
Hermansson
54%
Shahbazyan
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00

CFR 63
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Shahbazyan
This is a genuine toss-up — Hermansson at 46% vs Shahbazyan at 54% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 9 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Hermansson has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Hermansson's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Shahbazyan has a chin rating of 20 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Hermansson
Shahbazyan
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'2"
77"+
Reach
75"
37
Age
+28
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Hermansson
Shahbazyan
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
53.8
63.1
48.1
Performance Avg
56.3
42
Quality of Victory
51
97
Momentum Score
100
Hermansson
Shahbazyan
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.1
1.6
50%
Strike Accuracy
48%
3.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
8.0
3 KOs
KO Finishes
6 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
31
Head
3
0
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance4
0Clinch0
31Ground0
Hermansson
Shahbazyan
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
3.3
/ 10
1.4
/ 10
2.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.0
2.7
Submission Style (/10)
1.1
3
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Hermansson
Shahbazyan
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
20
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
5
KO/TKO Losses
3
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.4 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.7 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
6 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/34 fights
Chin rating based on
15/21 fights
Hermansson
Shahbazyan
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
97
100
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 🔥 win streak
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R5
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
Upcoming
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
Hermansson
Shahbazyan
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
55%
78%
3
KO / TKO Wins
6
3
Submission Wins
1
5
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Hermansson
Shahbazyan
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
8.0
3.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.4
2.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.0
2.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.1
5.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.4
4.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.1
HermanssonShahbazyan
Strike Zones
Hermansson
Attacking
31 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedShahbazyan
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
31 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Hermansson targets the head (100% of attacks) — Shahbazyan absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Shahbazyan targets the head (75% of attacks) — Hermansson absorbs 75% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Hermansson
RND
Shahbazyan
0/0R00/0
Hermansson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Shahbazyan · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Hermansson · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Myktybek OrolbaiRating 3.1KO/TKO
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L · KO · R1
Gregory RodriguesRating 3.1KO/TKO
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W · Dec · R5
Joe PyferRating 6.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer · 2024-02
L · KO · R2
Roman DolidzeRating 4.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland · 2022-12
W · Dec · R3
Chris CurtisRating 5.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall · 2022-07
Shahbazyan · Last 5
Upcoming
Brendan AllenUFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim · 2026-06
W · KO · R1
Andre MunizRating 5.9KO/TKO
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10
W · Dec · R3
Andre PetroskiRating 5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · 2025-06
W · KO · R1
Dylan BudkaRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues · 2025-02
L · Sub · R2
Gerald MeerschaertRating 3.8Submission
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