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UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira
New York City, USA
12 Nov 2022
Featherweight
VS
43%
Trizano
57%
Choi
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 4:51
MT
Michael Trizano
"The Lone Wolf"
113
5'11"71" reachOrthodox34 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 29
SeungWoo
SeungWoo Choi
"Sting"
118
Well-Rounded2-fight slide33 yrsOrthodox74" reach6'0"
CFR 39
★ Official Result
Michael TrizanowinsKO/TKOR1 · 4:51
def. SeungWoo Choi · UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Choi
Actual result
Trizano wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Trizano at 43% vs Choi at 57% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 10 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Trizano has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 19 points.

Trizano has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Trizano's chin rating of 64 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Choi has a chin rating of 6 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
TrizanoChoi
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Trizano
Choi
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'0"
71"
Reach
+74"
34
Age
+33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Trizano
Choi
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
28.9
38.5
54.4
Performance Avg
34.8
53
Quality of Victory
34
53
Momentum Score
69
Trizano
Choi
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.8
1.5
55%
Strike Accuracy
42%
3.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.2
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
28
Head
19
2
Body
3
2
Leg
4
RangeRange
21Distance25
1Clinch1
10Ground0
Trizano
Choi
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.8
/ 10
1.8
/ 10
1.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.3
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Trizano
Choi
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
64
6
Moderate
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
3
1
Sub Losses
2
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
Strikes absorbed / min
7/14 fights
Chin rating based on
11/19 fights
Trizano
Choi
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
53
69
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Trizano
Choi
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
25%
25%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Trizano
Choi
Striking3.6 / 3.2Volume7.1 / 6.7Grappling1.8 / 1.8Wrestling1.3 / 1.3Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure3.5 / 2.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.2
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.8
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.8
7.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.7
Trizano
Strike Zones
Choi
Trizano
Attacking
28HEAD2BODY2LEGS32 landed
Absorbing
19HEAD3BODY4LEGS26 absorbed
Choi
Attacking
19HEAD3BODY4LEGS26 landed
Absorbing
28HEAD2BODY2LEGS32 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Trizano targets the head (88% of attacks) — Choi absorbs 88% of strikes there
🎯Choi targets the head (73% of attacks) — Trizano absorbs 73% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Trizano
RND
Choi
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
0/0R20/0

Trizano · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0104.5W4.5W4.2L5.7W5.6L4.1L5.2W2018-072019-052022-022022-11
WinLossTrend

Choi · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.3
0106.8L4.0L4.5W5.5W5.2W3.0L5.8L1.5L4.5W3.4L3.6L2019-042021-022022-062024-072025-03
WinLossTrend

Trizano · Last 5

W · KO · R1
SeungWoo ChoiRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira · 2022-11
L · KO · R3
Lucas AlmeidaRating 4.1
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Rozenstruik · 2022-06
L · Dec · R3
Hakeem DawoduRating 5.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland · 2022-02
W · Dec · R3
Ludovit KleinRating 5.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Waterson · 2021-05
L · Sub · R2
Grant DawsonRating 4.2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Lee · 2019-05

Choi · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Kevin VallejosRating 3.6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Dolidze 2 · 2025-03
L · KO · R1
Steve GarciaRating 3.4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Jandiroba · 2024-07
W · Dec · R3
Jarno ErrensRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. The Korean Zombie · 2023-08
L · KO · R1
Michael TrizanoRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira · 2022-11
L · Dec · R3
Josh CulibaoRating 5.8
Decision
UFC 275: Teixeira vs. Prochazka · 2022-06

News & Media

Michael Trizano · SeungWoo Choi
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