UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira
New York City, USA
12 Nov 2022
Featherweight
VS
43%
Trizano
57%
Choi
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 4:51
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Choi
This is a genuine toss-up — Trizano at 43% vs Choi at 57% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 10 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Trizano has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 19 points.
Trizano has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Trizano's chin rating of 64 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Choi has a chin rating of 6 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Trizano
Choi
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'0"
71"
Reach
+74"
34
Age
+33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Trizano
Choi
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
28.9
38.5
54.4
Performance Avg
34.8
53
Quality of Victory
34
53
Momentum Score
69
Trizano
Choi
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.8
1.5
55%
Strike Accuracy
42%
3.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.2
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
28
Head
19
2
Body
3
2
Leg
4
RangeRange
21Distance25
1Clinch1
10Ground0
Trizano
Choi
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.8
/ 10
1.8
/ 10
1.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.3
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Trizano
Choi
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
64
6
Moderate
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
3
1
Sub Losses
2
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/14 fights
Chin rating based on
11/19 fights
Trizano
Choi
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
53
69
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Trizano
Choi
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
25%
25%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Trizano
Choi
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.2
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.8
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.8
7.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.7
TrizanoChoi
Strike Zones
Trizano
Attacking
32 landedAbsorbing
26 absorbedChoi
Attacking
26 landedAbsorbing
32 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Trizano targets the head (88% of attacks) — Choi absorbs 88% of strikes there
🎯Choi targets the head (73% of attacks) — Trizano absorbs 73% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Trizano
RND
Choi
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
0/0R20/0
Trizano · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Choi · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Trizano · Last 5
W · KO · R1
SeungWoo ChoiRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira · 2022-11
L · KO · R3
Lucas AlmeidaRating 4.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Rozenstruik · 2022-06
L · Dec · R3
Hakeem DawoduRating 5.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland · 2022-02
W · Dec · R3
Ludovit KleinRating 5.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Waterson · 2021-05
L · Sub · R2
Grant DawsonRating 4.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Lee · 2019-05
Choi · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Kevin VallejosRating 3.6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Dolidze 2 · 2025-03
L · KO · R1
Steve GarciaRating 3.4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Jandiroba · 2024-07
W · Dec · R3
Jarno ErrensRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. The Korean Zombie · 2023-08
L · KO · R1
Michael TrizanoRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira · 2022-11
L · Dec · R3
Josh CulibaoRating 5.8Decision
UFC 275: Teixeira vs. Prochazka · 2022-06