METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 107: Penn vs Sanchez
Memphis, USA
12 Dec 2009
Catch Weight
VS
52%
Belcher
48%
Gouveia
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 3:03
★ Official Result
Alan BelcherwinsKO/TKOR1 · 3:03
def. Wilson Gouveia · UFC 107: Penn vs Sanchez
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Belcher
→
Actual result
Belcher wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Belcher at 52% vs Gouveia at 48% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Risk flags
Belcher's chin rating of 58 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Gouveia has a chin rating of 32 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
BelcherGouveia
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Belcher
Gouveia
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
6'1"
75"
Reach
+76"
42+
Age
47
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Belcher
Gouveia
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
22.4
21.0
53.0
Performance Avg
56.2
48
Quality of Victory
54
100
Momentum Score
72
Belcher
Gouveia
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.6
/ 10
4.5
/ 10
7.2
Style: Pressure
8.8
2.1
Style: Volume
1.2
4 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
19
Head
28
2
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
17Distance29
2Clinch0
2Ground0
Belcher
Gouveia
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.9
/ 10
5.3
/ 10
2.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.7
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
6.7
3
Submission wins
4
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Belcher
Gouveia
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
58
32
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
3
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
9 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/26 fights
Chin rating based on
10/22 fights
Belcher
Gouveia
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
72
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Sub · R2
L · KO · R2
Belcher
Gouveia
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
78%
100%
4
KO / TKO Wins
2
3
Submission Wins
4
2
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Belcher
Gouveia
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.5
2.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.3
2.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.7
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
6.7
7.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.8
2.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.2
BelcherGouveia
Strike Zones
Belcher
Attacking
21 landedAbsorbing
29 absorbedGouveia
Attacking
29 landedAbsorbing
21 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Belcher targets the head (90% of attacks) — Gouveia absorbs 90% of strikes there
🎯Gouveia targets the head (97% of attacks) — Belcher absorbs 97% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Belcher
RND
Gouveia
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Belcher · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
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W · KO · R1
Jason MacDonaldKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Shields vs Ellenberger · 2011-09
W · Sub · R2
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UFC 113: Machida vs Shogun 2 · 2010-05
Gouveia · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Alan BelcherKO/TKO
UFC 107: Penn vs Sanchez · 2009-12
L · KO · R3
Nate MarquardtKO/TKO
UFC 95: Sanchez vs Stevenson · 2009-02
W · KO · R1
Jason MacDonaldKO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Nogueira vs. Team Mir Finale · 2008-12
W · Sub · R2
Ryan JensenSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Diaz vs Neer · 2008-09
L · KO · R2
Goran ReljicKO/TKO
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