UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz
San Diego, USA
13 Aug 2022
Catch Weight
VS
32%
Witt
68%
Quinlan
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 2:09
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Quinlan
Quinlan holds a meaningful edge at 68% per the CFR ratings — but Witt has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 24 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Quinlan has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 23 points.
Striking split: Quinlan throws more volume but Witt connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Witt's chin rating of 12 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Witt
Quinlan
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+6'0"
70"
Reach
+72"
39
Age
+33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Witt
Quinlan
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.2
43.7
35.7
Performance Avg
46.0
37
Quality of Victory
60
45
Momentum Score
22
Witt
Quinlan
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.9
1.0
43%
Strike Accuracy
35%
0.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
2
1
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
1Distance3
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Witt
Quinlan
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
5.2
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
3.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
5.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Witt
Quinlan
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
12
74
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
4
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/28 fights
Chin rating based on
4/9 fights
Witt
Quinlan
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
45
22
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Witt
Quinlan
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
100%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Witt
Quinlan
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
5.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
3.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.8
4.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.5
WittQuinlan
Strike Zones
Witt
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedQuinlan
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Witt targets the body (100% of attacks) — Quinlan absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Quinlan targets the head (67% of attacks) — Witt absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Witt
RND
Quinlan
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Witt · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.3WinLossTrend
Quinlan · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Witt · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Josh QuinlanRating 1.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz · 2022-08
L · KO · R2
Phil RoweRating 3.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland · 2022-02
W · Dec · R3
Bryan BarberenaRating 4.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hall vs. Strickland · 2021-07
L · KO · R1
Matthew SemelsbergerRating 2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Muhammad · 2021-03
W · Sub · R2
Cole WilliamsRating 5.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Hall vs. Silva · 2020-10
Quinlan · Last 4
L · Dec · R3
Adam FugittRating 5.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Perez vs. Taira · 2024-06
L · KO · R3
Danny BarlowRating 4.7KO/TKO
UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria · 2024-02
L · Dec · R3
Trey WatersRating 6.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Simon · 2023-04
W · KO · R1
Jason WittRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz · 2022-08