UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland
Orlando, USA
3 Dec 2022
Welterweight
VS
46%
Price
54%
Rowe
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 3:26
Niko
Niko Price
"The Hybrid"
16 – 11
6'0"76" reachOrthodox36 yrs4-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 48
Phil
Phil Rowe
"The Fresh Prince"
11 – 7
Knockout Artist2-fight slide35 yrsOrthodox80" reach6'3"
CFR 57

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Rowe

This is a genuine toss-up — Price at 46% vs Rowe at 54% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 9 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Striking split: Price throws more volume but Rowe connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Price's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Price
Rowe
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'3"
76"
Reach
+80"
36
Age
+35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Price
Rowe
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
48.4
57.0
46.0
Performance Avg
49.3
49
Quality of Victory
53
65
Momentum Score
52
Price
Rowe
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.6
1.6
46%
Strike Accuracy
54%
5.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
4 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
34
Head
24
2
Body
1
6
Leg
1
RangeRange
29Distance23
5Clinch3
8Ground0
Price
Rowe
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
2.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
1.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Price
Rowe
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
90
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
5
KO/TKO Losses
0
3
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.6 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
21/27 fights
Chin rating based on
9/18 fights
Price
Rowe
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
65
52
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Price
Rowe
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
75%
100%
4
KO / TKO Wins
4
2
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Price
Rowe
Striking5.8 / 10.0Volume2.8 / 0.9Grappling2.6 / 0.0Wrestling1.8 / 0.0Submission2.5 / 0.0Pressure6.5 / 8.3
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
2.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.3
2.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.9
Price
Strike Zones
Rowe
Price
Attacking
34HEAD2BODY6LEGS42 landed
Absorbing
24HEAD1BODY1LEGS26 absorbed
Rowe
Attacking
24HEAD1BODY1LEGS26 landed
Absorbing
34HEAD2BODY6LEGS42 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Price targets the head (81% of attacks) — Rowe absorbs 81% of strikes there
🎯Rowe targets the head (92% of attacks) — Price absorbs 92% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Price
RND
Rowe
0/0R00/0

Price · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0105.0W5.0W4.2L5.2W6.1W3.0L5.1W3.8L5.0W7.0L6.1L4.5W5.1L1.8L4.5W5.9L5.1L1.9L2.3L2016-122018-092021-072024-102026-03
WinLossTrend

Rowe · QOF Timeline

Avg: 6.1
0106.3L5.2W5.2W6.2W6.1L6.5L5.5W6.8L6.8L2021-022022-122025-062026-02
WinLossTrend

Price · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Michael ChiesaRating 2.3
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer · 2026-03
L · KO · R1
Nikolay VeretennikovRating 1.9
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira · 2026-02
L · Sub · R2
Jacobe SmithRating 5.1
Submission
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06
L · Dec · R3
Themba GorimboRating 5.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Taira · 2024-10
W · Dec · R3
Alex MoronoRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier · 2024-06

Rowe · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Jean-Paul LebosnoyaniRating 6.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez · 2026-02
L · Dec · R3
Seokhyeon KoRating 6.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Garcia vs. Onama · 2025-11
W · KO · R3
Ange LoosaRating 5.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · 2025-06
L · Dec · R3
Jake MatthewsRating 6.5
Decision
UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier · 2024-06
L · Dec · R3
Neil MagnyRating 6.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria · 2023-06

News & Media

Niko Price · Phil Rowe
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