Alistair Overeem vs Curtis Blaydes — UFC Fight Analysis & Result

METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 225: Whittaker vs. Romero 2

Chicago, USA

9 Jun 2018

Heavyweight

25%

Overeem

75%

Blaydes

Win Probability

KO/TKO

Round 3 · 2:56

Alistair Overeem

"The Demolition Man"

47 – 19

6'4"80" reachOrthodox46 yrsKnockout Artist

CFR 18

Curtis Blaydes

"Razor"

19 – 6

Well-Rounded35 yrsOrthodox80" reach6'4"

CFR 54

★ Official Result

Curtis BlaydeswinsKO/TKOR3 · 2:56

def. Alistair Overeem · UFC 225: Whittaker vs. Romero 2

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result

We predicted

Blaydes

→

Actual result

Blaydes wins

KO/TKO · R3

Pre-fight analysis

Blaydes is a strong favourite at 75% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 36 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Risk flags

Overeem's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Blaydes has a chin rating of 8 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout

OvereemBlaydes

Sig. Strikes

0.0

Strikes / min (SLpM)

0.0

—

Strike Accuracy

—

Overeem

Blaydes

Physical Matchup

Height · Reach · Age · Stance

6'4"

Height

6'4"

80"

Reach

80"

Age

+35

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

Overeem

Blaydes

Composite Fighter Rating

Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability

18.1

53.9

55.0

Performance Avg

53.4

Quality of Victory

Momentum Score

Overeem

Blaydes

Striking

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

8.7

/ 10

6.4

/ 10

7.0

Style: Pressure

5.6

3.2

Style: Volume

4.8

9 KO wins

Finish Rate (strikes)

7 KO wins

Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Strike targetStrike target

Head

Body

Leg

RangeRange

2Distance3

0Clinch10

0Ground10

Overeem

Blaydes

Grappling

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

0.6

/ 10

1.0

/ 10

0.4

Wrestling Style (/10)

0.7

0.0

Submission Style (/10)

0.0

Submission wins

Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Overeem

Blaydes

Durability / Chin

Resilience against knockouts and stoppages

2 consec. KOs

Verdict

KO risk

KO/TKO Losses

Sub Losses

Avg R2.1 stoppage

KO round context

Avg R1.3 stoppage

Most recent fight

Last KO loss

3 fights ago

—

Strikes absorbed / min

—

20/66 fights

Chin rating based on

22/25 fights

Overeem

Blaydes

Form & Momentum

Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%

L · KO · R2

W · KO · R5

W · KO · R2

L · KO · R5

W · KO · R1

Last 5

Upcoming

L · Dec · R3

W · Dec · R3

L · KO · R1

W · KO · R2

Overeem

Blaydes

Finish Rate

Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission

75%

50%

KO / TKO Wins

Submission Wins

Decision Wins

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Overeem

Blaydes

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

8.7

Striking

KO power & stand-up volume

6.4

0.6

Grappling

Ground control & clinch

1.0

0.4

Wrestling

Takedown threat & defence

0.7

0.0

Submission

Submission attack frequency

0.0

7.0

Pressure

Clinch/ground work rate

5.6

3.2

Volume

Decision-pace fighting

4.8

Overeem

Strike Zones

Blaydes

Overeem

Attacking

2 landed

Absorbing

23 absorbed

Blaydes

Attacking

23 landed

Absorbing

2 absorbed

Targeting Overlap

🎯Overeem targets the body (100% of attacks) — Blaydes absorbs 100% of strikes there

🎯Blaydes targets the head (91% of attacks) — Overeem absorbs 91% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Overeem

RND

Blaydes

0/0R00/0

Overeem · Last 5

L · KO · R2

Alexander Volkov

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Volkov · 2021-02

W · KO · R5

Augusto Sakai

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Sakai · 2020-09

W · KO · R2

Walt Harris

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Harris · 2020-05

L · KO · R5

Jairzinho Rozenstruik

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Rozenstruik · 2019-12

W · KO · R1

Aleksei Oleinik

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Oleinik · 2019-04

Blaydes · Last 5

Upcoming

Waldo Cortes Acosta

Noche UFC: Silva vs. Delgado · 2026-09

L · Dec · R3

Josh Hokit

Decision

UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · 2026-04

W · Dec · R3

Rizvan Kuniev

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Rountree Jr. · 2025-06

L · KO · R1

Tom Aspinall

KO/TKO

UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · 2024-07

W · KO · R2

Jailton Almeida

KO/TKO

UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · 2024-03

News & Media

Alistair Overeem · Curtis Blaydes

← Back to fights