UFC 225: Whittaker vs. Romero 2
Chicago, USA
9 Jun 2018
Heavyweight
VS
25%
Overeem
75%
Blaydes
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 2:56
AO
Alistair Overeem
"The Demolition Man"
47 – 19
6'4"80" reachOrthodox46 yrsKnockout Artist
CFR 18
Curtis
Curtis Blaydes
"Razor"
19 – 6
Well-Rounded35 yrsOrthodox80" reach6'4"
CFR 54

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Blaydes

Blaydes is a strong favourite at 75% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 36 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Overeem has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Overeem's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Blaydes has a chin rating of 8 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Overeem
Blaydes
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"
Height
6'4"
80"
Reach
80"
46
Age
+35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Overeem
Blaydes
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.1
53.9
55.0
Performance Avg
53.4
52
Quality of Victory
42
56
Momentum Score
81
Overeem
Blaydes
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.7
1.6
73%
Strike Accuracy
56%
8.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.4
9 KOs
KO Finishes
7 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
21
2
Body
2
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance3
0Clinch10
0Ground10
Overeem
Blaydes
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.6
/ 10
1.0
/ 10
0.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Overeem
Blaydes
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
8
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
8
KO/TKO Losses
4
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.1 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
20/66 fights
Chin rating based on
21/25 fights
Overeem
Blaydes
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
56
81
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R5
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R5
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
Overeem
Blaydes
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
75%
50%
9
KO / TKO Wins
7
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
7

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Overeem
Blaydes
Striking8.7 / 6.4Volume3.2 / 4.8Grappling0.6 / 1.0Wrestling0.4 / 0.7Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure7.0 / 5.6
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.4
0.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.0
0.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.6
3.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.8
Overeem
Strike Zones
Blaydes
Overeem
Attacking
0HEAD2BODY0LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
21HEAD2BODY0LEGS23 absorbed
Blaydes
Attacking
21HEAD2BODY0LEGS23 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD2BODY0LEGS2 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Overeem targets the body (100% of attacks) — Blaydes absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Blaydes targets the head (91% of attacks) — Overeem absorbs 91% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Overeem
RND
Blaydes
0/0R00/0

Overeem · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.3
0105.0W4.0L1.5L4.5W1.5L5.0W4.5W5.2W5.8W2.6L5.5W4.5W1.9L4.9L6.2W5.0W5.1L5.1W5.7W3.4L2011-122014-122017-032019-042021-02
WinLossTrend

Blaydes · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0105.2L5.2W4.5W4.2W4.5W5.5W1.9L4.5W5.2W5.1W5.8W3.3L5.6W5.5W7.4W2.7L7.0W3.9L4.8W7.5L2016-042018-062020-062023-042026-04
WinLossTrend

Overeem · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Alexander VolkovRating 3.4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Volkov · 2021-02
W · KO · R5
Augusto SakaiRating 5.7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Sakai · 2020-09
W · KO · R2
Walt HarrisRating 5.1
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Harris · 2020-05
L · KO · R5
Jairzinho RozenstruikRating 5.1
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Rozenstruik · 2019-12
W · KO · R1
Aleksei OleinikRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Oleinik · 2019-04

Blaydes · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Josh HokitRating 7.5
Decision
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · 2026-04
W · Dec · R3
Rizvan KunievRating 4.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Rountree Jr. · 2025-06
L · KO · R1
Tom AspinallRating 3.9
KO/TKO
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · 2024-07
W · KO · R2
Jailton AlmeidaRating 7
KO/TKO
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · 2024-03
L · KO · R1
Sergei PavlovichRating 2.7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes · 2023-04

News & Media

Alistair Overeem · Curtis Blaydes
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