METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Ige
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
15 Jul 2020
Middleweight
VS
19%
Phillips
81%
Chimaev
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 1:12
JP
John Phillips
"The Welsh Wrecking Machine"
2211
5'11"75" reachSouthpaw41 yrs2-fight slideKnockout Artist
CFR 17
Khamzat
Khamzat Chimaev
"Borz"
151
Well-Rounded32 yrsOrthodox75" reach6'2"
CFR 73
★ Official Result
Khamzat ChimaevwinsSubmissionR2 · 1:12
def. John Phillips · UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Ige

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Chimaev
Actual result
Chimaev wins
Submission · R2
Pre-fight analysis

Chimaev is a strong favourite at 81% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 57 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Phillips has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 11 points.

Chimaev has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Phillips's chin rating of 60 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
PhillipsChimaev
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Phillips
Chimaev
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'2"
75"
Reach
75"
41
Age
+32
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Phillips
Chimaev
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.7
73.2
42.7
Performance Avg
65.1
60
Quality of Victory
49
33
Momentum Score
100
Phillips
Chimaev
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.3
1.6
29%
Strike Accuracy
55%
10.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
3
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance0
0Clinch0
0Ground3
Phillips
Chimaev
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
0.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.4
0.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Phillips
Chimaev
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
60
98
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
3
Sub Losses
0
Strikes absorbed / min
6/33 fights
Chin rating based on
10/16 fights
Phillips
Chimaev
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
33
100
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Phillips
Chimaev
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
67%
1
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
4
0
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Phillips
Chimaev
Striking10.0 / 4.0Volume0.3 / 4.5Grappling0.0 / 4.4Wrestling0.0 / 3.0Submission0.0 / 4.4Pressure7.5 / 7.4
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.0
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.4
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.4
7.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.4
0.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.5
Phillips
Strike Zones
Chimaev
Phillips
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD0BODY0LEGS3 absorbed
Chimaev
Attacking
3HEAD0BODY0LEGS3 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Chimaev targets the head (100% of attacks) — Phillips absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Phillips
RND
Chimaev
0/0R00/0

Phillips · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0101.5L4.6L5.5L5.0W4.7L6.6L2018-032018-112019-032019-092020-072020-10
WinLossTrend

Chimaev · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.7
0105.2W5.0W6.1W5.8W4.7W5.6W5.6W5.9W6.4W6.6L2020-072021-102023-102026-05
WinLossTrend

Phillips · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
JunYong ParkRating 6.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. The Korean Zombie · 2020-10
L · Sub · R2
Khamzat ChimaevRating 4.7
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Ige · 2020-07
W · KO · R1
Alen AmedovskiRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Cannonier · 2019-09
L · Dec · R3
Jack MarshmanRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Till vs. Masvidal · 2019-03
L · Sub · R3
Kevin HollandRating 4.6
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Ngannou 2 · 2018-11

Chimaev · Last 5

L · Dec · R5
Sean StricklandRating 6.6
Decision
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05
W · Dec · R5
Dricus Du PlessisRating 6.4
Decision
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08
W · Sub · R1
Robert WhittakerRating 5.9
Submission
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
W · Dec · R3
Kamaru UsmanRating 5.6
Decision
UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 · 2023-10
W · Sub · R1
Kevin HollandRating 5.6
Submission
UFC 279: Diaz vs. Ferguson · 2022-09

News & Media

John Phillips · Khamzat Chimaev
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