UFC 239: Jones vs. Santos
Las Vegas, USA
6 Jul 2019
Women's Strawweight
VS
45%
Gadelha
55%
Markos
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Markos
This is a genuine toss-up — Gadelha at 45% vs Markos at 55% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Gadelha has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Markos has a chin rating of 60 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Gadelha
Markos
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'4"
Height
5'4"
63"
Reach
63"
37+
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Gadelha
Markos
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
13.8
16.7
40.8
Performance Avg
34.0
29
Quality of Victory
29
30
Momentum Score
15
Gadelha
Markos
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
1.1
43%
Strike Accuracy
42%
1.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.8
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
15
Head
6
1
Body
1
2
Leg
1
RangeRange
18Distance6
0Clinch2
0Ground0
Gadelha
Markos
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
3.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.2
2.2
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.2
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Gadelha
Markos
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
90
60
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
2
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/23 fights
Chin rating based on
18/23 fights
Gadelha
Markos
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
30
15
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
Gadelha
Markos
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
14%
14%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
1
6
Decision Wins
6
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Gadelha
Markos
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.8
3.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.2
2.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.2
1.4
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.4
2.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.2
8.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.7
GadelhaMarkos
Strike Zones
Gadelha
Attacking
18 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedMarkos
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
18 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Gadelha targets the head (83% of attacks) — Markos absorbs 83% of strikes there
🎯Markos targets the head (75% of attacks) — Gadelha absorbs 75% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Gadelha
RND
Markos
0/0R00/0
Gadelha · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Markos · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Gadelha · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Yan XiaonanRating 6.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Teixeira · 2020-11
W · Dec · R3
Angela HillRating 4.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Harris · 2020-05
W · Dec · R3
Randa MarkosRating 4.5Decision
UFC 239: Jones vs. Santos · 2019-07
L · Dec · R3
Nina NunesRating 5.5Decision
UFC 231: Holloway vs. Ortega · 2018-12
W · Dec · R3
Carla EsparzaRating 4.8Decision
UFC 225: Whittaker vs. Romero 2 · 2018-06
Markos · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Livinha SouzaRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Costa vs. Vettori · 2021-10
L · R1
Luana PinheiroRating 4UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Prochazka · 2021-05
L · Dec · R3
Kanako MurataRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Felder vs. Dos Anjos · 2020-11
L · Sub · R1
Mackenzie DernRating 2.7Submission
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Woodley · 2020-09
L · Dec · R3
Amanda RibasRating 5.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Oliveira · 2020-03