UFC Fight Night: Gaethje vs. Vick
Lincoln, USA
25 Aug 2018
Flyweight
VS
24%
Moraga
76%
Figueiredo
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 3:08
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Figueiredo
Figueiredo is a strong favourite at 76% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 38 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Moraga throws more volume but Figueiredo connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Moraga's chin rating of 58 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Figueiredo has a chin rating of 58 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Moraga
Figueiredo
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"+
Height
5'5"
66"
Reach
+68"
42
Age
+38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Moraga
Figueiredo
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.3
56.4
47.9
Performance Avg
57.9
42
Quality of Victory
50
64
Momentum Score
55
Moraga
Figueiredo
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
0.9
47%
Strike Accuracy
54%
3.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.3
2 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
9
5
Body
8
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
4Distance5
4Clinch1
0Ground11
Moraga
Figueiredo
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
3.9
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.3
2.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Moraga
Figueiredo
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
58
58
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/26 fights
Chin rating based on
22/31 fights
Moraga
Figueiredo
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
64
55
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R5
Moraga
Figueiredo
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
63%
57%
2
KO / TKO Wins
4
3
Submission Wins
4
3
Decision Wins
6
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Moraga
Figueiredo
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.3
3.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.3
2.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.3
3.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.9
6.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.1
4.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.8
MoragaFigueiredo
Strike Zones
Moraga
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedFigueiredo
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Moraga targets the body (63% of attacks) — Figueiredo absorbs 63% of strikes there
🎯Figueiredo targets the head (53% of attacks) — Moraga absorbs 53% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Moraga
RND
Figueiredo
0/0R00/0
0/0R20/0
Moraga · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Figueiredo · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.5WinLossTrend
Moraga · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Deiveson FigueiredoRating 3.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gaethje vs. Vick · 2018-08
W · Dec · R3
Wilson ReisRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Gaethje · 2018-04
W · KO · R1
Magomed BibulatovRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 216: Ferguson vs. Lee · 2017-10
W · Dec · R3
Ashkan MokhtarianRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Hunt · 2017-06
L · Dec · R3
Sergio PettisRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Penn · 2017-01
Figueiredo · Last 5
Upcoming
Song YadongUFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo · 2026-05
L · Dec · R3
Umar NurmagomedovRating 6.8Decision
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · 2026-01
W · Dec · R3
Montel JacksonRating 5.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot · 2025-10
L · KO · R2
Cory SandhagenRating 3.6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo · 2025-05
L · Dec · R5
Petr YanRating 7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Figueiredo · 2024-11